FACTBOX-HSBC trims Brent crude oil price forecasts for 2025 and 2026

Reuters
2025/04/15
FACTBOX-HSBC trims Brent crude oil price forecasts for 2025 and 2026

Updates table with latest estimates

April 15 (Reuters) - HSBC revised down its Brent crude oil price forecasts for 2025 and 2026, following the announcement of tariffs by U.S. President Donald Trump and the decision by OPEC+ to increase production, the bank said in a note on Tuesday.

The bank's forecast for 2025 has been reduced to $68.5 per barrel, down from the previous estimate of $73/bbl. Its 2026 prediction has also been lowered to $65/bbl, compared to the earlier estimate of $70/bbl.

HSBC also revised its global demand growth forecasts to 0.7 million barrels per day (mbd) for 2025 and 0.8 mbd for 2026, down from the previous estimate of 0.9 mbd for both years.

The following is a list of the latest brokerage forecasts for 2025 and 2026 average prices for Brent and WTI (in $ per barrel):

Brokerage/Agency

Brent

WTI

Forecasts as of

2025

2026

2025

2026

HSBC

$68.5

$65

$65.4

62

April 15, 2025

Goldman Sachs

$66

$58

$63

$55

April 14, 2025

BofA

$65

$70

$61

$66

April 14, 2025

JP Morgan

$66

$58

$62

$54

April 14, 2025

Barclays

$74

-

$70

-

March 14, 2025

Citi

$67

$65

$63

$62

January 22, 2025

Deutsche Bank

$72

$72

$68

$68

January 15, 2025

Morgan Stanley

-

$70

-

-

January 13, 2025

Macquarie

$71

$64

$66

$60

December 05, 2024

BMI

$78

-

$79

-

November 07, 2024

NAB

$78

-

-

-

October 06, 2024

HSBC

$70

-

$67

-

September 30, 2024

UBS

$75

-

$71

-

September 16, 2024

DNB

$77

-

-

August 20, 2024

* indicates end-of-period forecast

# current as of given date, may not indicate date of revision

For a table of crude price forecasts as per Reuters' latest monthly poll, see OILPOLL

(Reporting by Anmol Choubey in Bengaluru; editing by David Evans)

((anmol.choubey@thomsonreuters.com;))

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