Honeywell International Inc. (NASDAQ:HON) defied analyst predictions to release its first-quarter results, which were ahead of market expectations. Results were good overall, with revenues beating analyst predictions by 2.3% to hit US$9.8b. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in at US$2.22, some 5.1% above whatthe analysts had expected. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
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Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Honeywell International's 24 analysts is for revenues of US$40.3b in 2025. This reflects a modest 2.7% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to rise 8.0% to US$9.56. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$40.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$9.96 in 2025. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the minor downgrade to their earnings per share numbers for next year.
View our latest analysis for Honeywell International
The consensus price target held steady at US$232, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Honeywell International analyst has a price target of US$300 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$182. Analysts definitely have varying views on the business, but the spread of estimates is not wide enough in our view to suggest that extreme outcomes could await Honeywell International shareholders.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's clear from the latest estimates that Honeywell International's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 3.7% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 2.8% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 2.2% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Honeywell International to grow faster than the wider industry.
The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Honeywell International analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.
However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Honeywell International that you should be aware of.
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