We recently compiled a list of the 15 Best Stocks to Buy During Recession. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:PM) stands against the other stocks.

As per BlackRock, 2025 started with a bumpy ride for the US stocks. That being said, the asset manager believes that the sentiment has been a critical driver, but fundamentals seem to be healthy. This makes up for an optimistic longer-run outlook. Despite the tariff shocks creating difficult markets, the firm is constructive in its outlook and opines that volatility is an opportunity to capitalize on stock dispersion. Furthermore, Asia continues to exhibit a diversification opportunity for making investments in the AI theme, with equities providing low correlation to US counterparts.

Amidst Worries, There Is a Silver Lining

The trade and tariff uncertainty, which fueled the early-year volatility, advanced at the beginning of Q2 due to the US tariff pronouncements, according to the investment management company. This resulted in a global market meltdown and revived fears related to recession. However, as the quarter progressed, the tariff tensions took a backseat, and there was some optimism visible in the broader US markets. The asset manager believes that, while tariffs remain a critical measure, the potential for market-supporting policies like deregulation and corporate tax cuts provides some room for emergent optimism.

The firm highlighted the importance of an active approach in a bid to capitalize on inefficiencies and to make precise and intentional decisions amidst historic change and transition. While the results of bilateral tariff negotiations remain unpredictable, having a pulse on company dynamics, mainly when the macro picture remains unclear, can act as a differentiator for portfolios.

Policy Measures Likely to Support Moving Forward

The firm opines that corporate strength has supported the US equities’ momentum, and it comes through in earnings and market share. As per the firm, relatively pro-industry policies have stimulated healthy FCF. Several companies throughout different time frames have deployed the cash for future business growth. Even though the policy uncertainty in the current time of transition led to the pause in large investment decisions, the company believes that moves toward deregulation and the reshoring of supply chains once policy gets settled can result in the revival of CapEx spending throughout industries, such as technology and industrials. Despite tariffs dominating, the asset manager expects that deregulation and other policy priorities can regain attention. The high drive for innovation is the long-term secular trend that can support the US equities.

Our Methodology

To list the 15 Best Stocks to Buy During Recession, we considered the stocks from recession-proof industries such as utilities, consumer defensive, and healthcare. After getting an extensive list of 25-30 stocks, we chose the ones popular among hedge funds. Finally, the stocks were arranged in ascending order of their hedge fund sentiments, as of Q4 2024.

Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 373.4% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 218 percentage points (see more details here).

A man exhaling smoke from a cigarette indicating the use of tobacco products.

Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:PM)

Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 102

Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:PM) operates as a tobacco company. Barclays analyst Gaurav Jain remains optimistic about the company’s stock as the firm opines that tobacco remains in the early innings of a generational shift towards nicotine investing. The firm expects a breakout year for tobacco stocks. Fitch Ratings revised the outlook on the company to “stable” from “negative” in March 2025, demonstrating Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:PM)’s meaningful progress in deleveraging toward its target of 2.0x net debt/ EBITDA by 2026 and cash flow generation recovery in 2024. The firm also noted its leading size in the global tobacco sector and its robust product, brand, and geographical diversification.

As of December 31, 2024, Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:PM)’s smoke-free products were available for sale in 95 markets, and it estimates that they were used by 38.6 million adults around the world. Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:PM)’s smoke-free business accounted for 42% of its Q1 2025 total net revenues. Andvari Associates, an investment management firm, released its Q1 2025 investor letter. Here is what the fund said:

“Last year, Andvari made its first investments in tobacco companies with the purchase of Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:PM) and Altria. At the time of our purchase, Philip Morris and Altria had underperformed the S&P 500 over the prior 5- and 10-year periods. Both traded at low valuations and with high dividend yields. But thanks to following the industry o and on for 10+ years, and thanks to many discussions with long-time shareholders of the companies, Andvari felt the time was right to make the plunge. The timing could not have been much better for us as both companies have so far contributed positively to Andvari’s recent overall performance.

The problem—or the feature, depending on your perspective—with the tobacco industry has been a declining population of cigarette smokers in developed countries. Over the last four or five years, the decline in these smoking populations has accelerated, which in part explains the poor share performance of the tobacco companies between 2017 and 2023. Despite this, the tobacco companies have maintained, or slowly increased, their revenues and profits with regular price increases on cigarettes…” (Click here to read the full text)

Overall PM ranks 5th on our list of the best stocks to buy during recession. While we acknowledge the potential of PM as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some deeply undervalued AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter time frame. There is an AI stock that went up since the beginning of 2025, while popular AI stocks lost around 25%. If you are looking for a deeply undervalued AI stock that is more promising than PM but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about this cheapest AI stock.

 

READ NEXT: 20 Best AI Stocks To Buy Now and 30 Best Stocks to Buy Now According to Billionaires.

 

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.