What Happened?

Shares of cloud communications infrastructure company Twilio (NYSE:TWLO) jumped 5.6% in the afternoon session after HSBC upgraded the stock from Sell to Hold and raised the price target from $77 to $99. Following TWLO's Q1 2025 earnings, the firm highlighted "signs of revenue growth revival.".

The shares closed the day at $103.03, up 2.9% from previous close.

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What The Market Is Telling Us

Twilio’s shares are quite volatile and have had 17 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.

The previous big move we wrote about was 11 days ago when the stock gained 7.1% on the news that stocks extended their rebound, led by strong gains in the technology sector, as renewed optimism surrounding U.S.–China trade negotiations lifted investor sentiment. 

Contributing to the bullish tone was a standout earnings report from enterprise software leader ServiceNow, which topped Wall Street's expectations on RPO, profit and earnings. More importantly, the company's remaining performance obligations (RPO), a key forward-looking metric for future revenue, gave investors confidence that enterprise customers were not pulling back spending amidst uncertain macro. 

This optimism was further reinforced by solid results from Texas Instruments and Lam Research. Their performance was especially encouraging for semiconductor stocks, which had been under pressure due to their exposure to global trade tensions. These earnings results suggested that, despite macroeconomic uncertainties, demand in key tech verticals remained resilient.

Twilio is down 5.6% since the beginning of the year, and at $103 per share, it is trading 30.6% below its 52-week high of $148.35 from January 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Twilio’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $883.59.

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