GLOBAL MARKETS-Wall Street stocks close higher, dollar bounces back amid tariff talks, economic data

Reuters
2025/06/04
GLOBAL MARKETS-Wall Street stocks close higher, dollar bounces back amid tariff talks, economic data

Updates at U.S. market close

OECD warns of global economic slowdown due to trade war

Trump and Xi to meet this week - White House

US job openings rise, factory orders drop unexpectedly

Euro Zone inflation eases to ECB target

Crude prices rise amid Ukraine war and Iran nuclear deal tensions

By Stephen Culp

NEW YORK, June 3 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks advanced and the dollar rebounded on Tuesday as investors weighed progress in ongoing U.S. tariff talks and lowered economic expectations ahead of Friday's crucial U.S. employment report.

All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session with gains, with chips .SOX putting the tech-heavy Nasdaq out front following White House assurances that U.S. President Donald Trump will likely meet Chinese President Xi Jinping this week to address trade disputes between the world's two largest economies.

Gold backed down from a nearly four-week high as the greenback strengthened.

"It's hard to know what's really driving things today," said Chuck Carlson, CEO of Horizon Investment Services in Hammond, Indiana.

"There seems to be a little bit more comfort that the economy is not going into recession, and there might be a bit of front-running here in the sense we have a jobs report that's going to be coming out and investors want to get on the right side of that before it's released."

While the Trump administration pressed U.S. trading partners to provide their best offers by Wednesday, the protracted negotiations and moving deadlines have prompted economists to dial back economic expectations due to fallout from Trump's trade war.

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said the global economy is on course for a more drastic slowdown than it had expected only a few months ago. It cited Trump's trade war, and warned of even weaker growth as protectionism increases, fueling inflation and disrupting supply chains.

The United Nations' International Labor Organization (ILO) downgraded its global employment forecast, citing worsened economic conditions from trade tensions.

"Maybe that's helping U.S. markets," Carlson added, noting that the weaker global economic growth projections could be encouraging investors to move money back into U.S.

The U.S. Labor Department reported that the number of unfilled U.S. jobs unexpectedly rose in April, while new orders for factory-made goods posted a steeper drop than analysts had anticipated.

Investors are now focused on the May employment report due on Friday. Economists polled by Reuters expect the U.S. economy added 130,000 jobs last month, with the unemployment rate standing pat at 4.2%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average .DJI rose 214.16 points, or 0.51%, to 42,519.64, the S&P 500 .SPX rose 34.43 points, or 0.58%, to 5,970.37 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC rose 156.34 points, or 0.81%, to 19,398.96.

European stocks ended nominally higher as investors weighed trade anxieties against a report that euro zone inflation has eased below the European Central Bank's target, paving the way for further policy easing.

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe .MIWD00000PUS rose 2.64 points, or 0.30%, to 885.52.

The pan-European STOXX 600 .STOXX index rose 0.09%, while Europe's broad FTSEurofirst 300 index .FTEU3 rose 3.80 points, or 0.17%

Emerging market stocks .MSCIEF rose 3.67 points, or 0.32%, to 1,157.44. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS closed higher by 0.37%, to 609.73, while Japan's Nikkei .N225 fell 23.86 points, or 0.06%, to 37,446.81.

The dollar bounced back from a six-week low, even as concerns persisted over potential economic damage in the wake of Trump's trade war.

The dollar index =USD, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, rose 0.71% to 99.28, with the euro EUR= down 0.62% at $1.137.

Against the Japanese yen JPY=, the dollar strengthened 0.93% to 144.02.

Longer-dated U.S. Treasury yields dipped as investors awaited new developments in trade talks, but were off initial lows in the wake of economic data.

The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes US10YT=RR fell 1 basis point to 4.452%, from 4.462% late on Monday.

The 30-year bond US30YT=RR yield fell 1.8 basis points to 4.9769% from 4.995% late on Monday.

The 2-year note US2YT=RR yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Federal Reserve, rose 0.8 basis points to 3.953%, from 3.945% late on Monday.

Crude prices extended gains, supported by geopolitical concerns as the war in Ukraine intensified and Iran appeared poised to reject a U.S. nuclear deal proposal.

U.S. crude CLc1 rose 1.42% to settle at $63.41 per barrel, while Brent LCOc1 settled at $65.63 per barrel, up 1.55% on the day.

Gold prices retreated from a nearly four-week high amid profit-taking and in opposition to the strengthening dollar.

Spot gold XAU= fell 0.78% to $3,352.87 an ounce. U.S. gold futures GCc1 fell 0.59% to $3,350.60 an ounce.

World FX rates YTD http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

Asian stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

OECD lowers 2025 global growth outlook https://www.reuters.com/graphics/OECD-ECONOMY/akpenbgakvr/chart.png

(Reporting by Stephen Culp; Additional reporting by Rae Wee and Linda Pasquini; editing by Mark Heinrich, Richard Chang and Sandra Maler)

((stephen.culp@thomsonreuters.com))

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