GLOBAL MARKETS-Nervy markets await Fed as Mideast conflict rages on

Reuters
06-18
GLOBAL MARKETS-Nervy markets await Fed as Mideast conflict rages on

Investors worry over greater US involvement in Mideast conflict

Oil extends climb, dollar supported

Federal Reserve decision comes later in the day

By Rae Wee

SINGAPORE, June 18 (Reuters) - Concerns over escalating hostilities in the Middle East stayed front and centre in markets on Wednesday, sending oil prices higher and investors rushing for the safety of U.S. Treasuries and the dollar while dumping stocks.

Investors have grown increasingly nervous over the possibility of a more direct U.S. military involvement as the Israel-Iran air war entered a sixth day, with President Donald Trump calling for Iran's unconditional surrender and warning U.S. patience was wearing thin.

"Clearly the Middle East issues have not been solved, and comments by President Trump just mean that things could get more dangerous in that part of the world," said Joseph Capurso, head of international and sustainable economics at Commonwealth Bank of Australia $(CBA)$.

"The markets are trying to figure out that risk of a big U.S. military intervention. It's hard to say exactly what the market is thinking, but judging by the oil price and currencies, they're certainly pricing in at least some risk that something goes very bad there."

Oil prices extended their climb on Wednesday, with Brent crude futures LCOc1 up 0.33% to $76.70 per barrel while U.S. crude CLc1 rose 0.45% to $75.18 a barrel. Both had jumped more than 4% in the previous session.

The broad risk-off moves across markets also continued to gather pace.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS fell 0.26% as did EUROSTOXX 50 futures STXEc1, which declined 0.4%.

U.S. stock futures were little changed after the cash session on Wall Street ended in the red overnight.

In currencies, the dollar firmed at a one-week high of 145.445 yen JPY=EBS and held to most of its gains against other peers.

The euro EUR=EBS struggled to recover from its 0.7% fall on Tuesday, and last bought $1.1487. Sterling GBP=D3 edged slightly higher to $1.3435, having slid 1.1% in the previous session.

The spike in oil prices is a negative for the yen and euro at the margin as both Japan and the EU are major importers of energy, while the United States is an exporter.

"The war has demonstrated that the U.S. dollar still retains a bit of haven status in certain situations, such as when the war is seen to raise the risk of disrupting global oil supply, and when the war diverts traders' attention away from those risks that are U.S.-centric," said Thierry Wizman, global FX and rates strategist at Macquarie Group.

FED OUTCOME

The conflict in the Middle East, combined with prolonged uncertainty over Trump's tariffs and signs of fragility in the U.S. economy, make for a challenging backdrop ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy decision later on Wednesday.

U.S. retail sales fell by a more-than-expected 0.9% in May, data showed on Tuesday, marking the biggest drop in four months.

Expectations are for the Fed to stand pat on rates, though focus will also be on the central bank's updated projections for the economy and the benchmark interest rate.

"We do not anticipate much novelty from the Fed," said Erik Weisman, chief economist at MFS Investment Management.

"The only area of interest may come from the new set of forecasts under the Summary of Economic Projections, which may point to slightly slower growth, combined with slightly higher inflation."

U.S. Treasury yields were steady in Asia after falling on Tuesday, as investors scooped up the safe-haven bonds in the wake of latest developments in the Israel-Iran conflict. Bond yields move inversely to prices.

The benchmark 10-year yield US10YT=RR was last at 4.4027%, having fallen roughly 6 basis points in the previous session. The two-year yield US2YT=RR stood at 3.9581%. US/

Elsewhere, spot gold XAU= eased 0.12% to $3,384.73 an ounce. GOL/

World FX rates YTD http://tmsnrt.rs/2egbfVh

Asian stock markets https://tmsnrt.rs/2zpUAr4

(Reporting by Rae Wee; Editing by Jacqueline Wong)

((Rae.Wee@thomsonreuters.com;))

免責聲明:投資有風險,本文並非投資建議,以上內容不應被視為任何金融產品的購買或出售要約、建議或邀請,作者或其他用戶的任何相關討論、評論或帖子也不應被視為此類內容。本文僅供一般參考,不考慮您的個人投資目標、財務狀況或需求。TTM對信息的準確性和完整性不承擔任何責任或保證,投資者應自行研究並在投資前尋求專業建議。

熱議股票

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10