German Industrial Rebound Points to More Than Just Tariff Frontloading -- Market Talk

Dow Jones

2025/07/07

1102 GMT - The rise in German industrial output suggests that there is more to industry than just recent U.S. frontloading, ING's Carsten Brzeski says in a note. Industrial production rose 1.2% on month in May after a 1.6% decline in April, as output in the automotive and energy sectors increased. But there are signs that industry is making a cyclical rebound, Brzeski says. Industrial orders had finally started to improve and inventories began to drop earlier this year, circumstances that only accelerated as U.S. firms frontloaded products from Germany ahead of looming tariffs. While risks have increased due to trade tensions and a stronger euro, the German government's stimulus keeps hopes high for more investment and stronger growth, he says. (edward.frankl@wsj.com)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

July 07, 2025 07:02 ET (11:02 GMT)

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Industrial production rose 1.2% on month in May after a 1.6% decline in April, as output in the automotive and energy sectors increased. But there are signs that industry is making a cyclical rebound, Brzeski says. Industrial orders had finally started to improve and inventories began to drop earlier this year, circumstances that only accelerated as U.S. firms frontloaded products from Germany ahead of looming tariffs. While risks have increased due to trade tensions and a stronger euro, the German government's stimulus keeps hopes high for more investment and stronger growth, he says. 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Industrial production rose 1.2% on month in May after a 1.6% decline in April, as output in the automotive and energy sectors increased. But there are signs that industry is making a cyclical rebound, Brzeski says. Industrial orders had finally started to improve and inventories began to drop earlier this year, circumstances that only accelerated as U.S. firms frontloaded products from Germany ahead of looming tariffs. While risks have increased due to trade tensions and a stronger euro, the German government's stimulus keeps hopes high for more investment and stronger growth, he says. ","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4122":"互联网与直销零售","PCOM":"Points International"},"translate_title":"德国工业反弹不仅仅意味着关税提前加载——市场讨论","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"PCOM":1},"content_text":"1102 GMT - The rise in German industrial output suggests that there is more to industry than just recent U.S. frontloading, ING's Carsten Brzeski says in a note. Industrial production rose 1.2% on month in May after a 1.6% decline in April, as output in the automotive and energy sectors increased. But there are signs that industry is making a cyclical rebound, Brzeski says. Industrial orders had finally started to improve and inventories began to drop earlier this year, circumstances that only accelerated as U.S. firms frontloaded products from Germany ahead of looming tariffs. While risks have increased due to trade tensions and a stronger euro, the German government's stimulus keeps hopes high for more investment and stronger growth, he says. (edward.frankl@wsj.com) \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  July 07, 2025 07:02 ET (11:02 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2025 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":true,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}