BUZZ-Bernstein cuts PT on oil companies amid recent supply and demand trends

Reuters
07-08
BUZZ-Bernstein cuts PT on oil companies amid recent supply and demand trends

** Bernstein says short-cycle U.S. shale oil production can react to lower crude prices, and expects loss of 1.2 million barrels of oil per day (bopd) over the next year

** "Low price can incent OPEC to step away from its strategy of adding barrels to the market" - brokerage

** Brokerage expects OPEC to take market share as they have declared, forcing inventory builds (and falling price) in 2H25, forcing U.S. horizontal oil rig count down towards 320 which will remove ~1.2 mln bopd from shale oil

Brokerage changes price target on the following companies:

Company

Old PT

New PT

Upside to stock's last close

APA Corp APA.O

$23

$22

19.4%

ConocoPhillipsCOP.N

$120

$115

24.2%

Devon DVN.N

$45

$43

31.5%

Chevron CVX.N

$168

$149

1%

Exxon XOM.N

$140

$129

16%

DiamondBack Energy FANG.O

$200

$192

39.2%

(Reporting by Katha Kalia in Bengaluru)

((Katha.Kalia@thomsonreuters.com))

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