This week we saw the Sinco Pharmaceuticals Holdings Limited (HKG:6833) share price climb by 17%. But that is meagre solace in the face of the shocking decline over three years. Indeed, the share price is down a whopping 84% in the last three years. So we're relieved for long term holders to see a bit of uplift. Only time will tell if the company can sustain the turnaround. We really hope anyone holding through that price crash has a diversified portfolio. Even when you lose money, you don't have to lose the lesson.
On a more encouraging note the company has added HK$63m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the three-year loss for shareholders.
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While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Sinco Pharmaceuticals Holdings saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 36% per year, over the last three years. The share price decline of 46% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. This increased caution is also evident in the rather low P/E ratio, which is sitting at 9.28.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Sinco Pharmaceuticals Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Investors in Sinco Pharmaceuticals Holdings had a tough year, with a total loss of 11% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 35%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 4%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Sinco Pharmaceuticals Holdings you should be aware of, and 2 of them are significant.
Of course Sinco Pharmaceuticals Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
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