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For anyone considering AST SpaceMobile, the investment story hinges on the belief that space-based cellular networks can successfully extend coverage to unserved areas, unlocking meaningful revenue growth as these networks become commercially viable. The recent joint venture with Vodafone and launch of SatCo in Luxembourg represent a tangible step toward that ambition, positioning AST SpaceMobile at the center of Europe's emerging digital connectivity initiatives. The US$100 million non-dilutive equipment financing, paired with the recent equity raise, shores up liquidity for manufacturing and deployment efforts, directly addressing prior concerns about funding runway and near-term progress. Short-term catalysts now focus more on operational execution, regulatory milestones, and market adoption, especially in the leadup to commercial launch, while execution risk remains high and profitability is still years away. Given the sharp share price gains, risk appetite and patience will be as crucial as ever for current and would-be shareholders. But with untested technology and profitability still on the horizon, ongoing execution risk remains important for investors to track.
Despite retreating, AST SpaceMobile's shares might still be trading above their fair value and there could be some more downside. Discover how much.Explore 41 other fair value estimates on AST SpaceMobile - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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