Despite an already strong run, Qoria Limited (ASX:QOR) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 30% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 79% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in Australia's Software industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.9x, you may consider Qoria as a stock not worth researching with its 6.8x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
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View our latest analysis for Qoria
There hasn't been much to differentiate Qoria's and the industry's revenue growth lately. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this modest revenue performance will accelerate. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think Qoria's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Qoria's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 161% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 18% per annum over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 47% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
In light of this, it's alarming that Qoria's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
Qoria's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've concluded that Qoria currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Qoria with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Discover if Qoria might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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