• In the past week, T. Rowe Price Group reported its second quarter 2025 earnings, showing steady revenues at US$1.72 billion and higher quarterly net income of US$505.2 million, along with a US$108.56 million buyback of 1,210,000 shares between April and June 2025. Additionally, the ongoing buyback program, launched in 2003, has now repurchased more than half of the company’s outstanding shares to date.
• Despite the quarterly rise in net income, the half-year net income declined to US$995.7 million from US$1.06 billion a year earlier, signaling ongoing pressures even as share count reduction could benefit future earnings per share calculations.
• We’ll explore how T. Rowe Price’s recent share repurchases, layered on mixed earnings, shape its forward-looking investment thesis.

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T. Rowe Price Group Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in T. Rowe Price Group, you need confidence in its ability to adapt as client preferences shift from active to passive strategies while maintaining competitive profitability. The recent update on share buybacks and Q2 2025 earnings offers limited change to the immediate catalyst of restoring organic asset inflows, as core concerns about outflows, fee pressure, and new product uptake remain largely untouched in the latest results. The most significant near-term risk continues to be persistent net outflows from key equity franchises, which challenge the firm’s long-term earnings prospects regardless of incremental EPS improvement from buybacks.

Of the company’s latest updates, the launch of multiple new active equity ETFs stands out as directly relevant to the ongoing shift in investor demand. By providing fresh options for growth through ETFs, T. Rowe Price is addressing a critical catalyst: expanding its reach into lower-fee, scalable products and attracting clients who prefer passive or hybrid investment approaches.

Yet, despite recent innovations, investors should be alert to how sustained fee compression could...

Read the full narrative on T. Rowe Price Group (it's free!)

T. Rowe Price Group is expected to reach $7.5 billion in revenue and $2.1 billion in earnings by 2028. This outlook assumes a 2.0% annual revenue growth rate and a $0.1 billion increase in earnings from the current $2.0 billion.

Uncover how T. Rowe Price Group's forecasts yield a $104.00 fair value, in line with its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

Seven private investors in the Simply Wall St Community have estimated T. Rowe Price’s fair value between US$85 and US$153 per share. Given ongoing concerns about revenue mix and competitive fee pressure, consider how such a range of views might reflect different expectations for future profitability and explore how your outlook fits within these perspectives.

Explore 7 other fair value estimates on T. Rowe Price Group - why the stock might be worth as much as 46% more than the current price!

Build Your Own T. Rowe Price Group Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

• A great starting point for your T. Rowe Price Group research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
• Our free T. Rowe Price Group research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate T. Rowe Price Group's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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