Despite an already strong run, Pilbara Minerals Limited (ASX:PLS) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 24% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, Pilbara Minerals' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.7x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Metals and Mining industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 65.4x and even P/S above 626x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
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See our latest analysis for Pilbara Minerals
Pilbara Minerals could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think Pilbara Minerals' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Pilbara Minerals' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 65% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 126% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 16% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 123% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that Pilbara Minerals' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
Pilbara Minerals' recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Pilbara Minerals' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Pilbara Minerals with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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