Entergy Corporation (NYSE:ETR) Shares Could Be 24% Above Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Simply Wall St.

08/31

AdvertisementKey Insights The projected fair value for Entergy is US$70.84 based on Dividend Discount Model Entergy is estimated to be 24% overvalued based on current share price of US$88.09 The ...

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Our analysis will employ the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model.  There's really not all that much to it, even though it might appear quite complex.  We would caution that there are many ways of valuing a company and, like the DCF, each technique has advantages and disadvantages in certain scenarios.  If you want to learn more about discounted cash flow, the rationale behind this calculation can be read in detail in the Simply Wall St analysis model. We've found 21 US stocks that are forecast to pay a dividend yield of over 6% next year. See the full list for free. Crunching The Numbers   As Entergy operates in the electric utilities sector, we need to calculate the intrinsic value slightly differently.  Instead of using free cash flows, which are hard to estimate and often not reported by analysts in this industry, dividends per share (DPS) payments are used.  This often underestimates the value of a stock, but it can still be good as a comparison to competitors.  The 'Gordon Growth Model' is used, which simply assumes that dividend payments will continue to increase at a sustainable growth rate forever.  For a number of reasons a very conservative growth rate is used that cannot exceed that of a company's Gross Domestic Product (GDP). In this case we used the 5-year average of the 10-year government bond yield (3.1%). The expected dividend per share is then discounted to today's value at a cost of equity of 6.8%.  Compared to the current share price of US$88.1, the company appears   slightly overvalued    at the time of writing.   Valuations are imprecise instruments though, rather like a telescope - move a few degrees and end up in a different galaxy. Do keep this in mind. Value Per Share = Expected Dividend Per Share / (Discount Rate - Perpetual Growth Rate)= US$2.6 / (6.8% – 3.1%)= US$70.8NYSE:ETR Discounted Cash Flow August 31st 2025  The Assumptions  The calculation above is very dependent on two assumptions. The first is the discount rate and the other is the cash flows.  You don't have to agree with these inputs, I recommend redoing the calculations yourself and playing with them.  The DCF also does not consider the possible cyclicality of an industry, or a company's future capital requirements, so it does not give a full picture of a company's potential performance.  Given that we are looking at Entergy as potential shareholders, the cost of equity is used as the discount rate, rather than the cost of capital (or weighted average cost of capital, WACC) which accounts for debt.  In this calculation we've used 6.8%, which is based on a levered beta of 0.800. Beta is a measure of a stock's volatility, compared to the market as a whole. We get our beta from the industry average beta of globally comparable companies, with an imposed limit between 0.8 and 2.0, which is a reasonable range for a stable business.   See our latest analysis for Entergy SWOT Analysis for EntergyStrength  No major strengths identified for ETR.Weakness Earnings declined over the past year. Interest payments on debt are not well covered.Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Electric Utilities market.Opportunity Annual earnings are forecast to grow for the next 3 years. Good value based on P/E ratio compared to estimated Fair P/E ratio. Have ETR insiders been buying lately? ThreatDebt is not well covered by operating cash flow. Paying a dividend but company has no free cash flows.  Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the American market. Is ETR well equipped to handle threats?  Next Steps:  Although the valuation of a company is important, it  ideally won't be the sole piece of analysis you scrutinize for a company.  The DCF model is not a perfect stock valuation tool.  Rather it should be seen as a guide to \"what assumptions need to be true for this stock to be under/overvalued?\"  For instance, if the terminal value growth rate is adjusted slightly, it can dramatically alter the overall result.   Can we work out why the company is trading at a premium to intrinsic value?   For Entergy, we've compiled three  relevant  elements  you should assess:   Risks: Take risks, for example - Entergy has   2 warning signs  (and 1 which is significant)  we think you should know about.   Future Earnings: How does ETR's growth rate compare to its peers and the wider market? Dig deeper into the analyst consensus number for the upcoming years by interacting with our free analyst growth expectation chart.  Other High Quality Alternatives: Do you like a good all-rounder? Explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!   PS. Simply Wall St updates its DCF calculation for every American stock every day, so if you want to find the intrinsic value of any other stock just search here.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Entergy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"dataReport","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}