機構看金市：9月15日

新華財經

09/15

•銀河期貨：貴金屬在歷史高位附近的多空博弈加劇或將放大貴金屬波動•西南期貨：貴金屬的長期牛市趨勢有望延續•光大期貨：黃金上行宏觀邏輯並未打破•瑞銀集團：預計黃金將在明年中期漲至3900美元／盎司•富瑞：短期內美元的低迷無疑是黃金的“天賜良機”【機構分析】•銀河期貨表示，美國8月CPI儘管再度反彈，但較爲溫和且整體仍符合市場的預期；疊加8月非農數據爆冷和對此前數據年度級別的大幅下修，凸顯出美國...

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href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250915113307a4c6926d&s=b\">網頁鏈接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 來源：<a href=\"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250915113307a4c6926d&s=b\">新華財經</a></p>\n<p>為提升您的閱讀體驗，我們對本頁面進行了排版優化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"HK0000320223.HKD","symbol_name":"TAIKANG KAITAI CHINA NEW OPPORTUNITIES FUND \"A\" (HKD) ACC","start_time":0,"source_url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250915113307a4c6926d&s=b","article_id":"2567516758","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"tencent","url":"http://gu.qq.com/resources/shy/news/detail-v2/index.html#/?id=nesSN20250915113307a4c6926d&s=b","rn_cache_url":null,"customStyle":"body{padding-top:10px;}#news_title{font-weight:bold;#titleStyle#;}#news_description 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或將放大貴金屬波動•西南期貨：貴金屬的長期牛市趨勢有望延續•光大期貨：黃金上行宏觀邏輯並未打破•瑞銀集團：預計黃金將在明年中期漲至3900美元／盎司•富瑞：短期內美元的低迷無疑是黃金的“天賜良機”【機構分析】•銀河期貨表示，美國8月CPI儘管再度反彈，但較為温和且整體仍符合市場的預期；疊加8月非農數據爆冷和對此前數據年度級別的大幅下修，凸顯出美國勞動力市場的脆弱性，市場對於美聯儲年內多次降息的預期得到進一步鞏固。本週內美聯儲將召開9月FOMC會議，近期貴金屬相關的利多因素接近充分發酵，短期利多出盡的預期和中期“類滯脹”風險持續的擔憂可能令貴金屬在歷史高位附近的多空博弈加劇，或將放大貴金屬波動。•西南期貨表示，當前全球貿易金融環境錯綜複雜，關税存在巨大不確定性。“逆全球化”和“去美元化”大趨勢，利好黃金的配置價值和避險價值。各國央行的購金行為對黃金走勢也形成了支撐。美國7月非農數據大幅不及預期，勞動力市場進一步放緩，美聯儲有望開啓降息，為黃金提供新的上漲驅動力。因此，貴金屬的長期牛市趨勢有望延續，考慮做多黃金期貨。•光大期貨表示，黃金突破4月以來震盪格局後連續衝高，呈現軋空表現，確立了突破的有效性。上週黃金一度呈現高位震盪行情，一方面雖通脹數據推動降息但降息已基本完全定價，另一方面美通脹水平仍然受控，未產生再通脹預期，本週美聯儲議息降至，市場或表現偏謹慎，短線波動幅度或加大，走勢上則具有一定不確定性，但黃金上行宏觀邏輯並未打破，地緣政治方面再起波瀾，因此逢低買入可能仍是當前主要策略。白銀則跟隨金價上行，投資者可理解為金銀比迴歸預期下的補漲，國內突破萬元／千克關口後或迎來新一輪投資熱度，維繫逢低買入持有的策略。•瑞銀集團分析師Giovanni Staunovo在最新報告中表示，考慮到當前的利好因素，以及近期ETF資金流入的明顯增加，預計黃金將在明年中期漲至3900美元／盎司。•富瑞首席美國經濟學家Tom Simons表示，如果美聯儲如市場廣泛預期那樣下週降息，並暗示未來還會繼續降息，企業可能會感到樂觀，從而藉機重振招聘，收復因關税而失落的利潤。但短期內，美元的低迷無疑是黃金的“天賜良機”——作為反向指標，美元疲軟往往與金價走強齊頭並進。編輯：吳鄭思","kind":"news","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}