Etsy's Wide Q4 GMS Guidance Gives Limited Clarity on Growth Trends, Morgan Stanley Says

MT Newswires Live
2025/10/31

Etsy's (ETSY) wide Q4 gross merchandise sales guidance gives limited clarity on future growth trends, while the margin outlook was "disappointing," Morgan Stanley analysts said in a note emailed Thursday.

Etsy estimates consolidated GMS of between $3.5 billion and $3.65 billion in Q4, Chief Financial Officer Lanny Baker said during an earnings call on Wednesday, according to a FactSet transcript.

GMS guidance for Q4 implies Etsy marketplace growth in the negative low single-digit to positive low single-digit percentage, "a wide range that gives something for bulls & bears," Morgan Stanley analysts said.

Etsy's Q4 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin guidance of 24% came in about 300 basis points below consensus estimates, which the company attributed to a Depop brand campaign, the analysts said.

Morgan Stanley analysts estimate the Depop brand campaign to cost $18 million to $27 million in Q4, implying a margin headwind of 200 to 300 basis points. They note, however, that the campaign will not materially impact margins in the long term.

Morgan Stanley raised the stock's price target to $65 from $61, but retained an equal weight rating.

Shares of Etsy fell 3.7% in recent Thursday trading.

Price: 62.82, Change: -2.39, Percent Change: -3.67

免責聲明:投資有風險,本文並非投資建議,以上內容不應被視為任何金融產品的購買或出售要約、建議或邀請,作者或其他用戶的任何相關討論、評論或帖子也不應被視為此類內容。本文僅供一般參考,不考慮您的個人投資目標、財務狀況或需求。TTM對信息的準確性和完整性不承擔任何責任或保證,投資者應自行研究並在投資前尋求專業建議。

熱議股票

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10