Certara Q3 revenue just misses estimates

Reuters
2025/11/07
Certara Q3 revenue just misses estimates

Overview

  • Certara fiscal Q3 revenue grows 10% yr/yr, slightly missing analyst expectations

  • Adjusted EPS for fiscal Q3 beats analyst expectations

  • Net income for fiscal Q3 improved to $1.5 mln from a net loss last year

Outlook

  • Certara sees full-year 2025 revenue between $415 mln and $420 mln

  • Company expects full-year adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 32%

  • Certara anticipates full-year adjusted EPS of $0.45 to $0.47

Result Drivers

  • SOFTWARE GROWTH - Driven by biosimulation software and M&A activities, software revenue increased by 22%

  • SERVICE BOOKINGS DECLINE - Service bookings decreased by 9% due to softer trends among tier-one customers in Regulatory services

  • BIOSIMULATION DEMAND - Strong demand for biosimulation solutions in software and QSP services, despite spending hesitancy in other service areas

Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q3 Revenue

Slight Miss*

$104.60 mln

$104.90 mln (9 Analysts)

Q3 Adjusted EPS

Beat

$0.14

$0.11 (9 Analysts)

Q3 EPS

$0.01

Q3 Adjusted Net Income

$22.20 mln

Q3 Net Income

$1.50 mln

Q3 Adjusted EBITDA

$35.20 mln

Q3 Pretax Profit

-$267,000

*Applies to a deviation of less than 1%; not applicable for per-share numbers.

Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 6 "strong buy" or "buy", 6 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the software peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Certara Inc is $16.00, about 27.7% above its November 5 closing price of $11.57

  • The stock recently traded at 23 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 19 three months ago

Press Release: ID:nGNX6q5dbj

For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact RefinitivNewsSupport@thomsonreuters.com.

(This story was created using Reuters automation and AI based on LSEG and company data. It was checked and edited by a Reuters journalist prior to publication.)

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