Assessing Astronics (ATRO) Valuation After Strong Preliminary 2025 Results And 2026 Revenue Outlook

Simply Wall St.

01/15

Astronics (ATRO) recently prompted renewed attention after releasing preliminary unaudited revenue figures for Q4 and full year 2025 that came in above its prior guidance, along with early revenue ...

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See our latest analysis for Astronics. The upbeat revenue update appears to have fed directly into sentiment, with Astronics’ 1-day share price return of 6.28% and 30-day share price return of 36.84% sitting alongside a very large 1-year total shareholder return and a multi year total shareholder return above 7x. This points to strong positive momentum rather than a short term bounce, while recent investor conference appearances and fresh 2026 revenue expectations give the market more to weigh against that move. If this kind of aerospace and defense story has your attention, it could be worth seeing what else is on the move across aerospace and defense stocks. With Astronics now trading above the average analyst price target, yet still carrying an estimated intrinsic discount, the key question is whether recent revenue strength leaves upside on the table or if the market is already pricing in future growth. AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 17% Overvalued The most followed narrative sees Astronics' fair value at about US$61 per share, which sits below the recent close of US$71.58, creating an interesting gap between modeled outcome and current pricing. Cost and cash discipline evidenced by major cost savings initiatives, active tariff mitigation plans, and a healthy, flexible balance sheet provide headroom for further margin expansion, potential share repurchases, and opportunistic acquisitions to diversify and stabilize earnings. Read the complete narrative. Curious what kind of revenue run rate, margin lift, and future earnings multiple need to come together to support that valuation gap? The narrative lays out a detailed earnings ramp, a shift in profitability, and a future pricing framework that all have to align. If you want to see exactly which financial levers carry the most weight in this story, the full narrative spells out the numbers in black and white. Result: Fair Value of $61.18 (OVERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, there are pressure points here, including sensitivity to aircraft production cycles and execution risk in the Test segment, that could quickly challenge this optimistic setup.\nFind out about the key risks to this Astronics narrative. Another View: Multiples Paint a Different Picture While the most popular narrative sees Astronics as overvalued versus a fair value of about US$61 per share, the current pricing on sales tells a more complicated story. Astronics trades on a P/S of 3.1x, which screens as good value versus the wider US Aerospace and Defense group at 3.8x. The catch is that peers in its closer comparison set trade nearer 2.7x sales, and our fair ratio for Astronics is 1.3x. That gap suggests the market is already paying up for the story around future margins and growth, so the real question is whether you think those expectations are comfortable or a stretch from here. See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown. NasdaqGS:ATRO P/S Ratio as at Jan 2026 Build Your Own Astronics Narrative If you look at the numbers and come to a different conclusion, or just prefer to run your own assumptions, you can build a complete Astronics story yourself in a few minutes, starting with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Astronics research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Ready for more investment ideas? If Astronics has sharpened your focus, do not stop here. Broaden your watchlist and give yourself more options before the next big move catches you off guard.  Target potential value upside by scanning these 878 undervalued stocks based on cash flows that line up with your view on cash flows and pricing power. Ride the AI momentum by filtering for these 25 AI penny stocks that fit your risk profile and growth expectations. Boost your income focus by zeroing in on these 12 dividend stocks with yields > 3% that may suit a yield driven approach.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"dataReport","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}