Insider Buying And CEO Transition Put Spotlight On Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) Valuation

Simply Wall St.

02/11

AdvertisementInsider buying puts focus on Marriott Vacations Worldwide Recent insider share purchases at Marriott Vacations Worldwide (VAC) have put the stock back on investors’ radar, arriving at a ...

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In addition to regular dividends, ongoing share repurchases and a CEO transition, these insider moves are giving investors fresh information to weigh against high short interest and mixed recent return figures. See our latest analysis for Marriott Vacations Worldwide. At a share price of US$55.93, Marriott Vacations Worldwide has seen a 1-day share price return of 1.97% and a 7-day share price return of 4.91%. The 30-day share price return of 14.44% contrasts with a 1-year total shareholder return of 30.14% and a 5-year total shareholder return of 55.49%, suggesting any short term momentum is still set against a weak longer term record. If this insider buying has you reassessing the broader opportunities in consumer and travel related names, it may also be a good moment to broaden your search with 23 top founder-led companies With insider buying, a recent 30 day share price decline, an intrinsic value estimate that suggests a wide discount and analyst targets only modestly above today’s US$55.93 price, is there a genuine buying opportunity here, or is the market already pricing in future growth? Most Popular Narrative: 12.6% Undervalued With Marriott Vacations Worldwide last closing at $55.93 against a narrative fair value of $64, the current price sits below what the most followed narrative suggests. This puts the focus on whether the underlying earnings and cash flow assumptions hold up.  The analysts have a consensus price target of $91.9 for Marriott Vacations Worldwide based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $127.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $65.0.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what justifies a fair value above today’s price yet below the highest analyst targets? The narrative leans on earnings growth, revenue expansion and profit margins that together describe a very specific earnings path. The exact mix of growth rates, margin levels and required return is where the story becomes more detailed. Result: Fair Value of $64 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, slower owner sales and higher loan loss provisions could challenge the assumptions behind that US$64 fair value and keep pressure on earnings quality. Find out about the key risks to this Marriott Vacations Worldwide narrative.  Build Your Own Marriott Vacations Worldwide Narrative If you are not fully convinced by this view or simply prefer to weigh the numbers yourself, you can build your own narrative in just a few minutes, starting with Do it your way. A great starting point for your Marriott Vacations Worldwide research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision. Looking for more investment ideas? If this has sharpened your thinking on Marriott Vacations Worldwide, do not stop here. The screener can surface other ideas that might suit your approach even better.  Target potential value opportunities by checking companies our screener flags as 51 high quality undervalued stocks based on their fundamentals and pricing. Prioritise staying power by reviewing businesses identified in our solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (45 results) with financial structures that may better withstand shocks. Boost your income watchlist by scanning companies with robust payouts using our 14 dividend fortresses and see which yields stand out right now.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One PlaceWe've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile• Track the Fair Value of your stocksTry a Demo Portfolio for FreeHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"executive","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}