EMERGING MARKETS-Latam stocks, FX on track to cap data-heavy week with gains

Reuters
02/14
EMERGING MARKETS-Latam stocks, FX on track to cap data-heavy week with gains

Latam stocks fall 1.3%

Forex eases 0.7%

Peru gathers support for debate to oust President Jeri

Updates to mid-session trading

By Pranav Kashyap and Ragini Mathur

Feb 13 (Reuters) - Latin American currencies were mixed on Friday as regional stocks sent conflicting signals and investors digested a week packed with high-impact economic data.

The previous session's pullback and losses erased most of the week's gains for indexes tracking Latin American equities .MILA00000PUS and currencies .MILA00000CUS. Despite the setback, both indexes remain on track to post modest weekly gains.

On the day, the equity gauge fell 1.3%, while the currency index lost 0.7%.

The U.S. dollar =USD, meanwhile, held largely steady against peer currencies after January inflation data came in below expectations.

"Latin American equities and currencies are trading lower due to cautiousness and uncertainty about the U.S. dollar losing its safe-haven role, with investors confused about which assets to move toward given stagnant U.S. economic conditions," said Juan Pérez, director of trading at Monex.

PERUVIAN PRESIDENT IS UNDER PRESSURE

Among regional markets, Peruvian stocks .MXNUAMPESCPGPE, which had led the region with a 45% surge in 2025, fell by 1.2%.

Congress late on Thursday gathered enough signatures to open debate on the removal and censure of Peruvian President Jose Jeri following a scandal tied to reports of undisclosed meetings with a Chinese businessman.

The sol PEN=, after snapping a five-session winning streak a day earlier, was flat.

By contrast, the Argentine peso ARS= was on track for its best week since October, as markets welcomed a political win for President Javier Milei as his flagship labor reform bill got the Senate's approval.

Brazil's real BRL= teetered on the edge of erasing its weekly gains, slipping into negative territory after inflation data suggested the economy is cooling.

The figures fueled expectations the central bank could begin cutting rates as soon as March. Retail sales volumes data, released Friday, confirmed the trend — falling in December from the previous month.

That would likely be an inflection point for a currency that drew strong support through 2025 from Brazil's 15% rates. The real's "carry" appeal could face a tougher test if policymakers kick off an easing cycle, something the central bank has already hinted at in the minutes of its previous meeting.

The real lost 0.3% on Friday.

Despite the day's losses of 0.9%, the country's stock index .BVSP was still set for a sixth straight week of gains, its longest winning streak since May last year.

The week's data barrage kept inflation in focus. Brazil showed signs of easing price pressures; in Mexico and Argentina, inflation accelerated, Peru held rates steady, and a poll suggested Chile would lower interest rates.

Faced with so much information, some investors locked in profits.

Chile's .SPIPSA and Colombia's .COLCAP equity markets were on course for a third consecutive weekly decline, their longest losing run in more than a year and a half.

Outside Latin America, Russia's central bank surprised the market by cutting its policy rate by 50 basis points to 15.5% and signaled it could go lower still to support a slowing wartime economy strained by elevated borrowing costs. The rouble gained 0.8% against the dollar.

Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies:

Stock indexes

Latest

Daily % change

MSCI Emerging Markets .MSCIEF

1556.81

-0.87

MSCI LatAm .MILA00000PUS

3191.2

-1.29

Brazil Bovespa .BVSP

186099.68

-0.89

Mexico IPC .MXX

71246.26

0.51

Chile IPSA .SPIPSA

10897.74

-0.7

Argentina MerVal .MERV

2816127.94

-1.25

Colombia COLCAP .COLCAP

2348.7

0.88

Currencies

Latest

Daily % change

Brazil real BRL=

5.228

-0.32

Mexico peso MXN=

17.1606

0.35

Chile peso CLP=

860.86

-0.35

Colombia peso COP=

3659.31

0.17

Peru sol PEN=

3.351

0.06

Argentina peso (interbank) ARS=RASL

1,399.0

-0.07

Argentina peso (parallel) ARSB=

1,420.0

1.39

(Reporting by Pranav Kashyap and Ragini Mathur in Bengaluru; editing by Barbara Lewis and Alan Barona)

((pranav.kashyap@tr.com; +919886482111))

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