Nova (NVMI) Revenue Growth And 29% Margins Reinforce Bullish Earnings Narratives

Simply Wall St.

02/13

Nova (NVMI) has put up another busy quarter, with Q3 FY 2025 revenue of US$224.6 million and basic EPS of US$2.05, backed by trailing 12 month revenue of US$852.7 million and EPS of US$8.30 that sit ...

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The company has seen revenue move from US$178.9 million in Q3 FY 2024 to US$224.6 million in Q3 FY 2025, while basic EPS over that span went from US$1.76 to US$2.05. With net margin reported at 28.7% and described as slightly...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":["earning"],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"LU0278937759.USD":"abrdn SICAV I - EMERGING MARKETS SMALLER COMPANIES\"A\" (USD) ACC","BK4147":"半导体设备","NVMI":"Nova Ltd","SG9999000418.SGD":"Aberdeen Standard Global Technology SGD","BLSX":"Tradr 2X Long BLSH Daily ETF","BLSG":"2倍做多BLSH ETF-Leverage Shares","BK4112":"金融交易所和数据"},"translate_title":"Nova(NVMI)收入增长和29%的利润率强化了看涨的盈利叙述","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"BLSX":0.6,"BLSG":0.6,"NVMI":1.98},"content_text":"Nova (NVMI) has put up another busy quarter, with Q3 FY 2025 revenue of US$224.6 million and basic EPS of US$2.05, backed by trailing 12 month revenue of US$852.7 million and EPS of US$8.30 that sit on top of solid reported earnings growth figures in the supplied data. The company has seen revenue move from US$178.9 million in Q3 FY 2024 to US$224.6 million in Q3 FY 2025, while basic EPS over that span went from US$1.76 to US$2.05. With net margin reported at 28.7% and described as slightly higher than last year, the earnings release leans heavily on consistent profitability. See our full analysis for Nova. With the headline numbers on the table, the next step is to set these results against the widely followed narratives around Nova’s growth, risks and profitability to see which stories hold up and which ones the latest earnings call into question. See what the community is saying about Nova NasdaqGS:NVMI Earnings & Revenue History as at Feb 2026 AdvertisementTTM earnings up 43% with margins near 29%  Over the last 12 months, net income reached US$245.0 million on US$852.7 million of revenue, with a trailing net margin of 28.7% compared with 28.0% a year earlier, and trailing EPS of US$8.30. Analysts with a bullish view point to this 43% trailing earnings growth and 25.7% annualised growth over five years as evidence that Nova can keep building on its current EPS base. However, the modest move in net margin from 28.0% to 28.7% shows that most of the progress is still coming from growth rather than a big shift in profitability per dollar of sales.\n     Bulls also reference forecast earnings growth of about 16.6% a year and revenue growth of roughly 15.4% a year, which they see as consistent with the trailing momentum in both revenue and EPS. At the same time, the flat to slightly higher margin profile suggests less room for a big margin surprise, so a lot of the bullish case rests on revenue and earnings continuing along similar growth paths.    With record trailing profit growth and margins holding close to 29%, some bulls argue this is exactly the kind of earnings profile that could justify their more optimistic long term scenarios for Nova, and they lay out that case in detail in the 🐂 Nova Bull Case Premium P/E of 53.7x versus peers  NOVA is trading on a trailing P/E of 53.7x, compared with the US semiconductor industry average of 46.4x and a peer group average of 75.9x, while the current share price of US$443.55 also sits well above a DCF fair value of about US$86.94. Bears highlight this premium P/E and the wide gap between the share price and DCF fair value as signs that expectations are already high. However, the same data set also shows strong trailing growth and healthy margins that partially explain why the market is willing to pay more than the industry average.\n     The cautious narrative argues that with earnings already up 43% over the past year and forecast to grow around 16.6% a year, any disappointment against those growth numbers could put pressure on a 53.7x multiple. On the other hand, the fact that the P/E is still below the 75.9x peer average shows that, even with a higher price than the DCF fair value of US$86.94, the market is not assigning Nova the very top end of sector multiples in the data.    Sceptics point to the 53.7x P/E and the gap to the US$86.94 DCF fair value as reasons to be careful, and you can see how that argument is built out in the 🐻 Nova Bear Case Quarterly revenue stepping up toward US$225 million  On a quarterly basis, revenue has moved from US$156.9 million in Q2 2024 to US$178.0 million in Q3 2024, then to US$194.8 million in Q4 2024, and most recently to US$224.6 million in Q3 2025, while quarterly EPS over the same stretch ranged from US$1.55 to US$2.32 and most recently US$2.05. The balanced, consensus style view is that this steady climb in quarterly revenue, paired with relatively consistent EPS above US$2.00 in 2025 so far, fits with the idea of broad based demand for Nova’s metrology tools. However, the mix of higher R&D and capacity spending mentioned in the narratives means investors still need to watch how much of that extra revenue converts to future EPS.\n     Consensus commentary ties the revenue build from US$156.9 million to US$224.6 million to broader chip industry investment and higher complexity in logic, memory and packaging, which supports the trailing growth rates seen in the last 12 months data. At the same time, with forecasts already baking in roughly mid teens annual growth, a quarterly step up like Q3 2025 is consistent with those expectations rather than clearly above or\n Next Steps To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for Nova on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves. See the numbers differently? Take a couple of minutes to test your own thesis against this data and shape a clear narrative around it, then Do it your way A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Nova. See What Else Is Out There NOVA’s rich 53.7x P/E, alongside a share price well above the US$86.94 DCF fair value, leaves little room for disappointment if expectations soften. If that kind of pricing makes you uneasy, take a few minutes today to scan 55 high quality undervalued stocks and focus on companies where expectations and valuations feel better aligned.  This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n    and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n    financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n    Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n    Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Nova might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"dataReport","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}