Trump Sends Iran Strike Odds Surging, Says Diego Garcia 'May Be Necessary To Eradicate A Potential Attack'

Benzinga_recent_news

02/19

Donald Trump reversed course on the Diego Garcia military base Wednesday, telling British Prime Minister Keir Starmer he is making a “big mistake” by leasing the Indian Ocean airfield, and warning it ...

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Polymarket sees 62% chance of strike by March, traders react with higher oil prices and potential defense stock opportunities.","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"benzinga.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"PLT":"Defiance Leveraged Long Plus Income PLTR ETF","BK4547":"WSB热门概念","BK4613":"AI应用软件","LU0787776722.HKD":"AB SELECT US EQUITY PORTFOLIO \"A\" (HKD) ACC","IE00B3S45H60.SGD":"Neuberger Berman US Multicap Opportunities A Acc SGD-H","PLTA":"ProShares Ultra PLTR ETF","LU1861559042.SGD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B SGD","LU0683600562.USD":"AB SELECT US EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0320765646.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Income A MDIS SGD-H1","PLYY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST PLTR ETF","PLTD":"1倍做空PLTR ETF-Direxion","LU1366192091.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY PLUS \"AM\" (USD) INC","IE00B19Z9Z06.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Aggressive Growth A Acc USD","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","BK4588":"碎股","PLTG":"2倍做多PLTR ETF-Leverage Shares","LU1162221912.USD":"FRANKLIN INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0640476718.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQ \"AU\" (USD) ACC","RTX":"雷神技术公司","LU1929549753.HKD":"FRANKLIN INCOME \"A\" (HKD) INC","LU1280957306.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) US CONTRARIAN CORE EQUITIES \"AUP\" (USD) INC","IE00B775SV38.USD":"NEUBERGER BERMAN US MULTICAP OPPORTUNITIES \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B19Z9P08.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US AGGRESSIVE GROWTH \"A\" (USD) INC","PLTU":"2倍做多PLTR ETF-Direxion","BK4023":"应用软件","PTIR":"2倍做多PLTR ETF-GraniteShares","IE00B894F039.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Aggressive Growth A Acc SGD-H","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","BK4187":"航天航空与国防","BK4543":"AI","PLTW":"PLTR周配息ETF-Roundhill","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","PLTY":"PLTR期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","PLTZ":"2倍做空PLTR ETF-Defiance","LU1585245621.USD":"EASTSPRING INV GLOBAL LOW VOLATILITY EQUITY FUND \"A\" (USD) ACC B","LU1430594728.SGD":"Eastspring Investments - Global Low Volatility Equity AS SGD","IE00BZ9MQY76.HKD":"FTGF CLEARBRIDGE US AGGRESSIVE GROWTH \"A\" (HKD) ACC","PLOO":"2倍上限加速PLTR ETF-Leverage Shares","BK4566":"资本集团"},"translate_title":"特朗普表示，迪戈加西亚岛“可能有必要消除潜在的袭击”，导致伊朗袭击的可能性飙升","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"RTX":1.85,"PLTU":0.6,"PTIR":0.6,"PLT":0.6,"PLOO":0.6,"PLTA":0.6,"PLTR":1.87,"PLTZ":0.6,"PLTD":0.6,"PLTY":0.6,"PLYY":0.6,"PLTW":0.6,"PLTG":0.6},"content_text":"Donald Trump reversed course on the Diego Garcia military base Wednesday, telling British Prime Minister Keir Starmer he is making a 「big mistake」 by leasing the Indian Ocean airfield, and warning it may be needed to launch strikes on Iran if nuclear talks collapse.\n「Should Iran decide not to make a deal, it may be necessary for the United States to use Diego Garcia… in order to eradicate a potential attack by a highly unstable and dangerous Regime,」 Trump posted on Truth Social. \n「DO NOT GIVE AWAY DIEGO GARCIA!」\nThe comments landed just 24 hours after the State Department said it 「supports the decision of the United Kingdom to proceed with its agreement with Mauritius.」 \nWednesday’s post marks his third distinct position on the issue in a matter of weeks.\nThe flip came a day after U.S.-Iran nuclear talks in Geneva produced a second meeting but little progress. \nVice President JD Vance said Iran agreed to meet again but has not acknowledged Trump’s core conditions, chief among them, zero uranium enrichment on Iranian soil. \nWashington also wants Tehran’s ballistic missile program on the table. Iran has called both non-negotiable.\nEarlier this year, satellite imagery confirmed at least six B-2 Spirit bombers, 30% of America’s entire stealth bomber fleet, staged at Diego Garcia, positioned to strike Iranian nuclear facilities if talks collapsed. \nTrump’s post may be about keeping that option firmly open.\nThe sharpest move is in the near term.\nThe odds of a US/Israel strike on Iran by February 28 have jumped from 24% to 38% in just a few hours, first on Vance’s Geneva comments, then on Trump’s Truth Social post. \nPolymarket’s 「US/Israel Strikes Iran By…?」 market, with over $294 million in volume, now prices a strike by end of March at 62%, by June 30 at 67%, and by year-end at 74%.\nTraders appear to be reading Trump’s Diego Garcia warning as operational signaling.\nOn the defense side, Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ:PLTR) — whose Pentagon analytics contracts put it at the center of any Gulf military buildup — may be worth watching. \nRTX Corp (NYSE:RTX), maker of the Tomahawk and Patriot missiles likely to be deployed in any strike scenario, is the more direct hardware play.\nImage: Shutterstock\nTo add Benzinga News as your preferred source on Google, click here.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"2","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}