ANZ sees gold hitting $5,800 an ounce in the second quarter

Kitco

02/16

(Kitco News) - Gold prices appear to be consolidating around $5,000, but that doesn’t mean the precious metal will be stuck there for long, as one international bank has raised its second-quarter ...

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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nANZ sees gold hitting $5,800 an ounce in the second quarter\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Kitco</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2026-02-16 17:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>(Kitco News) - Gold prices appear to be consolidating around $5,000, but that doesn’t mean the precious metal will be stuck there for long, as one international bank has raised its second-quarter ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-02-16/anz-sees-gold-hitting-5800-ounce-second-quarter\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 來源：<a href=\"https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-02-16/anz-sees-gold-hitting-5800-ounce-second-quarter\">Kitco</a></p>\n<p>為提升您的閱讀體驗，我們對本頁面進行了排版優化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"SGOL","symbol_name":"Abrdn Gold ETF Trust","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-02-16/anz-sees-gold-hitting-5800-ounce-second-quarter","article_id":"2612484596","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"kitco_highlight","url":"https://www.kitco.com/news/article/2026-02-16/anz-sees-gold-hitting-5800-ounce-second-quarter","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2612484596","pubTimestamp":1771234080,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"kitco_highlight","name":"Kitco"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"(Kitco News) - Gold prices appear to be consolidating around $5,000, but that doesn’t mean the precious metal will be stuck there for long, as one international bank has raised its second-quarter pric","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"kitco.com","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"SGOL":"Abrdn Gold ETF Trust","BK4504":"桥水持仓","GLDM":"SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust","XME":"金属与采矿指数ETF-SPDR","GDX":"黄金矿业ETF-VanEck","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4588":"碎股","BK4535":"淡马锡持仓","GLL":"2倍做空黄金ETF-ProShares","IAU":"黄金信托ETF-iShares","GDXJ":"小型黄金矿业ETF(Market Vectors)"},"translate_title":"澳新银行预计第二季度金价将触及每盎司5,800美元","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"XME":1.5,"GLL":1.5,"GDX":1.5,"SGOL":1.5,"1OZmain":1.5,"IAU":1.5,"GLDM":1.5,"GDXJ":1.5},"content_text":"(Kitco News) - Gold prices appear to be consolidating around $5,000, but that doesn’t mean the precious metal will be stuck there for long, as one international bank has raised its second-quarter price target.In their latest note on gold, commodity analysts at ANZ said they expect prices to hit $5,800 an ounce in the second quarter, up sharply from their previous target of $5,400 an ounce.「Although recent volatility has raised questions about whether gold prices have peaked, we believe the rally is not yet mature enough to reverse anytime soon,」 the analysts said.Gold’s sharp drop from last month's record highs near $5,600 has some investors worried that prices could see a precipitous decline, similar to previous cycles such as the 1980 peak or the 2011 highs.However, ANZ noted that market conditions are significantly different, with gold well supported as the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates at least twice this year. Falling inflation pressures have also pushed markets to price in the possibility of a third rate cut by December.「We expect two 25bp rate cuts, one in March and another in June. This will keep real rates falling, supporting inflows into gold. Geopolitical and economic uncertainties will likely persist, with Trump continuing to use tariffs as threats. The market’s attention is gradually shifting to the potential impact of tariffs, which has yet to fully emerge in economic and inflation data. And doubts remain around future Fed credibility. Such a backdrop will intensify investors’ appetite for real assets like gold,」 the analysts said.Looking beyond U.S. monetary policy, the Australian bank said that gold remains the ultimate insurance policy against growing global financial market uncertainty.The analysts added that gold remains an attractive defensive asset as U.S. Treasuries lose their luster. At the same time, it is not just a U.S.-centric issue, as rising debt levels worldwide are making global bonds, including Japanese government bonds, less desirable.「The global financial system is undergoing a structural shift. The US Treasury, once regarded as the world’s largest risk-free asset and the foundation for interest-bearing and tradable instruments, is facing trust issues. Soaring debt levels, concerns about the Fed’s independence, and increasing risks of sanctions have fundamentally altered its status. As a result, investors are demanding higher premiums for long-dated US Treasuries, which is evident from the widening spread between long- and short-term yields,」 the analysts said.「Gold serves as a transitional asset, providing stability and diversification when conventional anchors are under pressure. This is why strategic allocations to gold remain relevant, at least until geopolitical stability is achieved, the US’ structural fiscal problems are resolved, and the Fed’s credibility is restored. This is unlikely to materialise anytime soon. In this context, gold’s role as a store of value and hedge is significant.」Looking at different segments of the gold market, ANZ said that although central bank demand is forecast to remain robust through 2026, they expect broader investment demand to do the heavy lifting this year.The analysts noted that even at higher prices, there is still significant upside potential for investors to rotate into gold-backed exchange-traded funds.「We expect inflows into gold-backed ETFs to continue, with total holdings potentially surpassing 4,800t this year. While Western markets continue to underpin ETF demand, significant growth is expected from emerging markets such as China and India. There is scope for these regions to expand their share of global ETF holdings beyond the current 10%,」 the analysts said.「The upside risk to our view is any fund rotation from equities and bonds to gold, if geopolitical or political risks worsen,」 they added. 「Gold ETF assets under management represent less than 3% of total equity and bond holdings. This means even minor portfolio adjustments could have a disproportionately positive impact on gold prices.」ANZ also remains bullish on silver; however, the analysts said that because of its volatility, it is unlikely to outperform gold this year.「Silver’s performance will remain anchored to the gold price; strong investment demand leaves upside room for prices,」 the analysts said. 「That said, silver’s outperformance looks like it is ending, as industrial demand starts to respond to higher prices and investors become cautious. The trading range for silver will likely be wider.」","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}