摩根大通：伊朗衝突對全球經濟影響取決於衝突持續時間

環球市場播報

03/02

　　摩根大通經濟學家指出，伊朗衝突對全球經濟的影響取決於敵對狀態的持續時長。他們認為油價上漲是最可能引發顯著漣漪效應的經濟傳導渠道。

　　若衝突短暫，油價或將迅速回落至原有軌跡，全球經濟或不會受到劇烈衝擊。

　　反之，若油價在整個上半年持續走高，能源價格衝擊可能使全球上半年GDP年化增長率降低0.6個百分點，同時推動全球消費者通脹率上升逾1個百分點。

海量資訊、精準解讀，盡在新浪財經APP

責任編輯：王許寧

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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a></span><span></span>經濟學家指出，伊朗衝突對全球經濟的影響取決於敵對狀態的持續時長。他們認為油價上漲是最可能引發顯著漣漪效應的經濟傳導渠道。</p>\n<p>　　若衝突短暫，油價或將迅速回落至原有軌跡，全球經濟或不會受到劇烈衝擊。</p>\n<p>　　反之，若油價在整個上半年持續走高，能源價格衝擊可能使全球上半年GDP年化增長率降低0.6個百分點，同時推動全球消費者通脹率上升逾1個百分點。</p>\n<div>\n<div><img src=\"\"/></div>\n<div>海量資訊、精準解讀，盡在新浪財經APP</div>\n</div>\n<p>責任編輯：王許寧 </p>\n</div></body></html>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 來源：<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2026-03-02/doc-inhprfsf1223433.shtml\">環球市場播報</a></p>\n<p>為提升您的閱讀體驗，我們對本頁面進行了排版優化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU0683600562.USD","symbol_name":"AB SELECT US EQUITY \"A\" (USD) 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