South Korean Inflation Remains Moderate in February

MT Newswires Live
03/06

South Korea's consumer price index (CPI) remained subdued in February, striking a bull's eye on the nation's central bank inflation target, although some analysts warned underlying pressures could be building.

South Korea's CPI rose 2% on year in February, and gained 0.3% on from January, reported the Ministry of Data and Statistics (MDS) on Friday.

Food and nonalcoholic beverage prices rose 2.1% on year in February, while restaurant and hotel charges lifted 3% in the same time frame.

The Bank of Korea has a 2% annual inflation target on the CPI.

South Korea's CPI-core, which strips out certain food and energy bills, rose 2.3% on year, and rose 0.4% on month, according to MDS.

The slightly higher inflation rates signaled by the CPI-core, in addition to recent jumps in oil prices and a softening national currency, could signal some testing of central bank price targets in the remainder of the year, said ING Think, an arm of the Dutch investment house.

"With oil prices climbing and the KRW (South Korean won) weakening again, the economy faces greater inflation risks than previously forecast," advised ING Think.

Meanwhile, the price category of "private services" rose 3.6% on year in February. The price of services is sometimes seen as one indicator of underlying inflation forces, as productivity gains in services are generally limited.

Taking fuel bills and higher import charges into consideration, the projected overall impact may increase the reported inflation rate in South Korea by 0.2% to 0.4% in the coming months, advised ING Think.

"Our CPI forecast for 2026 has been updated from 2.0% year-over-year to 2.2%, reflecting recent developments in oil prices and the Korean won," said ING Think.

With a mindful eye on inflation, the Bank of Korea is not likely to engage in monetary easing or lower interest rates any time soon.

"We anticipate the Bank of Korea will maintain the current neutral policy stance to support the recovery in domestic demand," said ING Think. "We keep our Bank of Korea view of holding its policy rate at 2.5% throughout 2026."

免責聲明:投資有風險,本文並非投資建議,以上內容不應被視為任何金融產品的購買或出售要約、建議或邀請,作者或其他用戶的任何相關討論、評論或帖子也不應被視為此類內容。本文僅供一般參考,不考慮您的個人投資目標、財務狀況或需求。TTM對信息的準確性和完整性不承擔任何責任或保證,投資者應自行研究並在投資前尋求專業建議。

熱議股票

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10