Regis Healthcare (ASX:REG) is expected to reap benefits from higher government funding into aged care sector, Jefferies said Monday in a note, adding that it is awaiting clarity from the upcoming federal budget announcement this month.

The government has announced plans for a AU$3 billion investment in aged care, which includes an increased accommodation supplement.

The investment firm assumes that if 40% of Regis' residents received a AU$15 higher daily accommodation supplement, the company could see around a 10% boost in EBITDA per place over 12 months. Regis expects fiscal 2026 underlying EBITDA of around AU$135 million.

Jefferies is also confident in the company's fiscal 2027 outlook despite near-full occupancy as Regis continues to expand its portfolio and increase the proportion of residents paying Refundable Accommodation Deposit (RAD). The company reported average occupancy of 95.9% in mature homes in the third quarter.

Jefferies maintained a buy rating and increased its price target by 35% to AU$9.