Methanex (MEOH) is expected to benefit from a still-elevated methanol pricing environment even as prices gradually normalize over the medium term, according to updated industry forecasts and ongoing supply-side disruptions, RBC Capital said in a Friday note.

Commodity Market Analytics raised its methanol price outlook through 2028, with the largest upward revisions in 2027 due to supply constraints in the Middle East and logistical disruptions such as the Strait of Hormuz, while prices are still expected to gradually ease from late 2026 but remain above pre-disruption levels, according to the report.

RBC noted that Methanex's near-term reference prices are expected to remain stable across North America, China, and Asia Pacific, with elevated pricing supporting strong free cash flow generation and 2026 prices likely staying well above historical averages, aiding deleveraging efforts.

The analyst said Methanex's earnings are highly sensitive to methanol price changes, which significantly impact adjusted EBITDA, and added that the company has potential capital allocation flexibility, including continued debt reduction and possible share buybacks starting in late 2026.

RBC maintained its sector perform rating on the stock with a price target of $70.

Methanex shares were up 2% in Monday trading.

Price: 60.28, Change: +1.18, Percent Change: +2.00