普徠仕：美國經濟增長具韌性且通脹壓力未退料聯儲局維持利率不變

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普徠仕(T. Rowe Price)美國首席經濟學家Blerina Uruci表示，新任聯儲局主席沃什(Kevin Warsh)將會主持首次會議，市場將可從其記者會發言中更了解其政策重點。不過，短期政策影響料將有限。她預期聯邦基金利率將維持不變，政策聲明亦會較為簡短，並不會暗示未來傾向寬鬆的政策指引。這與聯儲局主席沃什希望淡化前瞻指引的取態一致，同時亦有助回應近期反對寬鬆傾向的FOMC鷹派委員。...

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Rowe Price)美國首席經濟學家Blerina Uruci表示，新任聯儲局主席沃什(Kevin Warsh)將會主持首次會議，市場將可從其記者會發言中更了解其政策重點。不過，短期政策影響料將有限。她預期聯邦基金利率將維持不變，政策聲明亦會較為簡短，並不會暗示未來傾向寬鬆的政策指引。這與聯儲局主席沃什希望淡化前瞻指引的取態一致，同時亦有助回應近期反對寬鬆傾向的FOMC鷹派委員。...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.aastocks.com/sc/forex/news/comment.aspx?source=AAFN&id=NOW.1529400&catg=1\">網頁鏈接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 來源：<a href=\"https://www.aastocks.com/sc/forex/news/comment.aspx?source=AAFN&id=NOW.1529400&catg=1\">AASTOCKS</a></p>\n<p>為提升您的閱讀體驗，我們對本頁面進行了排版優化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"XLP","symbol_name":"消費品指數ETF-SPDR主要消費品","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://www.aastocks.com/sc/forex/news/comment.aspx?source=AAFN&id=NOW.1529400&catg=1","article_id":"2644792955","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":["https://plib.aastocks.com/aafnnews/image/medialib/20260529101608869_s.jpg"],"rights":{"source":"aastocks_forex","url":"https://www.aastocks.com/sc/forex/news/comment.aspx?source=AAFN&id=NOW.1529400&catg=1","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2644792955","pubTimestamp":1781663820,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"aastocks_forex","name":"AASTOCKS"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"普徠仕(T. 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It is expected that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"ZFmain":1.5,"UBmain":1.5,"BBLB":0.6,"VGLT":1.5,"BBSB":0.6,"VDC":1.5,"TLTX":0.6,"TLTW":0.6,"TNmain":1.5,"DBND":1.5,"ZBmain":1.5,"ITB":1.5,"USHY":1.5,"TSYW":0.6,"DRV":1.5,"ZNmain":1.5,"SGOV":0.6,"VCIT":1.5,"BSV":1.5,"TBT":1.5,"XLRE":1.5,"MINT":1.5,"IYR":1.5,"NAIL":1.5,"XRT":1.5,"TFJL":0.6,"IEF":0.6,"DBA":1.5,"EDV":1.5,"GOVT":1.5,"SHY":0.6,"TBJL":0.6,"UBT":1.5,"FLGV":0.6,"PBDC":1.5,"IEI":1.5,"VCSH":1.5,"SCHO":1.5,"ZTmain":1.5,"GOLY":1.5,"XLP":1.5,"TYO":1.5,"XHB":1.5,"SHV":0.6,"ZROZ":1.5,"GBIL":1.5,"TBIL":1.5,"DRN":1.5,"SCHH":1.5,"BOND":1.5},"content_text":"普徠仕(T. Rowe Price)美國首席經濟學家Blerina Uruci表示，新任聯儲局主席沃什(Kevin Warsh)將會主持首次會議，市場將可從其記者會發言中更了解其政策重點。不過，短期政策影響料將有限。她預期聯邦基金利率將維持不變，政策聲明亦會較為簡短，並不會暗示未來傾向寬鬆的政策指引。這與聯儲局主席沃什希望淡化前瞻指引的取態一致，同時亦有助回應近期反對寬鬆傾向的FOMC鷹派委員。因此，她預期今次政策決定不會出現異議。展望未來，新一輪經濟預測料會顯示今年及明年的利率中位數路徑略為上移，以反映能源價格高企帶來的通脹上行風險增加。此外，2025年第四季《就業及工資季度普查》(QCEW)數據顯示，去年非農就業人數略為上修，而近期就業數據亦高於預期，反映勞動市場風險更趨平衡。這亦支持聯儲局在當前政策聲明中移除寬鬆傾向。Blerina Uruci預期沃什亦會在記者會上談及其改革聯儲局溝通方式及資產負債表策略的願景，但這隻會是相關工作的起點，而非完整交代未來政策方向。在此背景下，普徠仕預期聯儲局今年或將維持利率不變。雖然市場仍然聚焦減息可能性，但美國經濟增長具韌性，加上通脹壓力仍未消退，意味政策制定者可能會保持耐性。若通脹意外升温，進一步收緊政策的風險或較不少投資者目前預期為高。整體而言，普徠仕的基本預測仍是美國經濟持續擴張。需求具韌性、生產力改善，以及由人工智能推動的強勁投資周期，均為增長提供建設性背景；不過，通脹及政策不確定性仍是需要密切關注的重要風險。(sl/a)AASTOCKS新聞","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":null,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":1,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}

普徠仕：美國經濟增長具韌性且通脹壓力未退 料聯儲局維持利率不變

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普徠仕：美國經濟增長具韌性且通脹壓力未退料聯儲局維持利率不變