Japan's Terminal Rate Likely to Be 1.5%, SMBC Nikko Says -- Market Talk

Dow Jones

06/24

0804 GMT - Japan's terminal interest rate is likely to be at 1.5%, says Yoshimasa Maruyama of SMBC Nikko Securities. The economist expects the Bank of Japan to lift its policy rate in October 2026 and April 2027. BOJ Gov. Kazuo Ueda refrained from giving clear hints on the timing of the next rate increase in a speech Wednesday, but flagged caution over the possibility that underlying inflation might exceed the bank's 2% target. The BOJ governor also said Japan's financial conditions are still accommodative even after last week's rate hike to 1%, suggesting that more monetary tightening is on the way. (megumi.fujikawa@wsj.com)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

June 24, 2026 04:04 ET (08:04 GMT)

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The economist expects the Bank of Japan to lift its policy rate in October 2026 and April 2027. BOJ Gov. Kazuo Ueda refrained from giving clear hints on the timing of the next rate increase in a speech Wednesday, but flagged caution over the possibility that underlying inflation might exceed the bank's 2% target. The BOJ governor also said Japan's financial conditions are still accommodative even after last week's rate hike to 1%, suggesting that more monetary tightening is on the way. (megumi.fujikawa@wsj.com) \n</p>\n<pre style=\"white-space: pre\">\n \n</pre>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  June 24, 2026 04:04 ET (08:04 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>","source":null,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Japan's Terminal Rate Likely to Be 1.5%, SMBC Nikko Says -- Market Talk</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJapan's Terminal Rate Likely to Be 1.5%, SMBC Nikko Says -- Market Talk\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2026-06-24 16:04</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<font class=\"NormalMinus1\" face=\"Arial\">\n<p>\n     0804 GMT - Japan's terminal interest rate is likely to be at 1.5%, says Yoshimasa Maruyama of SMBC Nikko Securities. 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The economist expects the Bank of Japan to lift its policy rate in October 2026 and April 2027. BOJ Gov. Kazuo Ueda refrained from giving clear hints on the timing of the next rate increase in a speech Wednesday, but flagged caution over the possibility that underlying inflation might exceed the bank's 2% target. The BOJ governor also said Japan's financial conditions are still accommodative even after last week's rate hike to 1%, suggesting that more monetary tightening is on the way. ","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK4195":"互助储蓄与抵押信贷金融服务","BK4211":"区域性银行","SMBC":"Southern Missouri Bancorp"},"translate_title":"SMBC Nikko表示，日本终端利率可能为1.5%——市场讨论","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"SMBC":1.5},"content_text":"0804 GMT - Japan's terminal interest rate is likely to be at 1.5%, says Yoshimasa Maruyama of SMBC Nikko Securities. The economist expects the Bank of Japan to lift its policy rate in October 2026 and April 2027. BOJ Gov. Kazuo Ueda refrained from giving clear hints on the timing of the next rate increase in a speech Wednesday, but flagged caution over the possibility that underlying inflation might exceed the bank's 2% target. The BOJ governor also said Japan's financial conditions are still accommodative even after last week's rate hike to 1%, suggesting that more monetary tightening is on the way. (megumi.fujikawa@wsj.com) \n\n\n \n\n\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n\n\n  June 24, 2026 04:04 ET (08:04 GMT)\n\n\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":true,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":true,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}