Some Shade Thrown on the Jump in Canadian Bank Share Prices

Dow Jones

07/18

1350 ET - Canada's banks have carried the Toronto Stock Exchange to new heights, but valuations have reached levels far above what fundamentals can reasonably support, says Rosenberg Research's David Rosenberg. His advice is for investors to consider rebalancing their oversize holdings. Rosenberg says the fundamentals for the banks are genuinely good, but probably can't justify the roughly 33% rally for the six biggest lenders in 2026. The driver is credit losses shifting into reverse, resulting in lower provisions and higher earnings. Rosenberg says these kind of provision releases typically aren't repeatable, yet the Big Six are now trading on an average roughly 15 times expected 2027 earnings versus a historical around 11 times. (robb.stewart@wsj.com)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

July 17, 2026 13:50 ET (17:50 GMT)

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His advice is for investors to consider rebalancing their oversize holdings. Rosenberg says the fundamentals for the banks are genuinely good, but probably can't justify the roughly 33% rally for the six biggest lenders in 2026. The driver is credit losses shifting into reverse, resulting in lower provisions and higher earnings. Rosenberg says these kind of provision releases typically aren't repeatable, yet the Big Six are now trading on an average roughly 15 times expected 2027 earnings versus a historical around 11 times. 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His advice is for investors to consider rebalancing their oversize holdings. Rosenberg says the fundamentals for the banks are genuinely good, but probably can't justify the roughly 33% rally for the six biggest lenders in 2026. The driver is credit losses shifting into reverse, resulting in lower provisions and higher earnings. Rosenberg says these kind of provision releases typically aren't repeatable, yet the Big Six are now trading on an average roughly 15 times expected 2027 earnings versus a historical around 11 times. (robb.stewart@wsj.com) \n</p>\n<p>\n  (END) Dow Jones Newswires\n</p>\n<p>\n  July 17, 2026 13:50 ET (17:50 GMT)\n</p>\n<p>\n  Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.\n</p>\n</font>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"LU0128525929.USD","symbol_name":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL \"A\" (USD) ACC","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","article_id":"2652282785","we_media_id":"106","thumbnails":[],"rights":null,"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2652282785","pubTimestamp":1784310600,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":null,"weMediaInfo":{"media_name":"Dow Jones","introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"summary":"1350 ET - Canada's banks have carried the Toronto Stock Exchange to new heights, but valuations have reached levels far above what fundamentals can reasonably support, says Rosenberg Research's David Rosenberg. His advice is for investors to consider rebalancing their oversize holdings. Rosenberg says the fundamentals for the banks are genuinely good, but probably can't justify the roughly 33% rally for the six biggest lenders in 2026. The driver is credit losses shifting into reverse, resulting in lower provisions and higher earnings. Rosenberg says these kind of provision releases typically aren't repeatable, yet the Big Six are now trading on an average roughly 15 times expected 2027 earnings versus a historical around 11 times.  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His advice is for investors to consider rebalancing their oversize holdings. Rosenberg says the fundamentals for the banks are genuinely good, but probably can't justify the roughly 33% rally for the six biggest lenders in 2026. The driver is credit losses shifting into reverse, resulting in lower provisions and higher earnings. Rosenberg says these kind of provision releases typically aren't repeatable, yet the Big Six are now trading on an average roughly 15 times expected 2027 earnings versus a historical around 11 times. 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