0519 GMT - An election in Australia's southern state of Victoria in November is being watched because it could deliver a message about federal voting patterns. An SMS Roy Morgan Poll show the Liberal-National coalition's primary votes rising to 26% this month from 24% in April, with Labor on 26%, up 0.5%. One Nation is attracting 23.5% support, down 1%. Crucially, the coalition is now ahead of the Labor government on a two-party preferred basis with 51% support compared with Labor on 49%. If an election were held now there would likely be a hung Parliament with great uncertainty about the results in many electorates, the poll shows.