分析師：美債收益率飆升或衝擊亞洲AI驅動的股市漲勢

格隆匯

08/18

美債收益率快速攀升正成為亞洲人工智能驅動股市漲勢面臨的最大風險之一，這種令人擔憂的聯動關係凸顯出科技企業對高孖展成本的脆弱性。數據顯示，過去五年中，在10年期美國國債收益率單周上升20個點子或以上的20周中，MSCI亞太指數有17周出現下跌，平均跌幅為1.7%。隨着市場對美國財政狀況的擔憂加劇，全球債券市場跌勢進一步擴大，這一聯繫再次受到關注。Vantage Global Prime分析師Hebe Chen表示：「全球債券市場若出現無序波動，勢必會立即波及亞洲地區，尤其是隨着AI熱潮的發展，中國台灣和韓國等市場與美國科技周期及資金流動的聯繫越來越緊密。亞洲近期股市的主要漲勢很大程度上集中在科技和AI領域，而這恰恰是對資本成本、貼現率上升、匯率波動以及全球經濟基本面最為敏感的市場部分。」

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