Kalshi Readies Perpetual Futures Tied to Stock Indexes

Dow Jones
08/19

Kalshi has filed for federal approval to offer perpetual futures tied to equity indexes, the prediction-market platform announced on Tuesday.

Pending approval from its federal regulator, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, traders on Kalshi will be able to take leveraged long or short positions on stock indexes. The company also announced Tuesday that it filed with the CFTC to offer perpetual futures on the price of copper.

Perpetual futures, or "perps," are a multi-trillion dollar asset class on offshore cryptocurrency exchanges, but they were only approved for trading in the U.S. by the CFTC in May. Traders bet against one another on whether the price of an underlying asset will go up or down: If the price goes up, the trader on the short side pays the long side; if it goes down, the long side pays the short side. Perp traders can apply leverage to their positions-as high as 50-to-1 on some offshore exchanges. Kalshi offers up to 6-to-1 on certain assets.

Kalshi isn't launching perpetual futures tied to single stocks "at this time," according to a company spokesperson, who noted that single-security options are jointly regulated by the CFTC and Securities Exchange Commission. Polymarket, Kalshi's closest competitor in the prediction-market space, offers single-stock perps on its international platform.

Polymarket has a data partnership with Dow Jones, the publisher of Barron's.

It seems inevitable that Kalshi will eventually file for approval of single-security perps. The firm has already signaled an ambition to list prediction markets on whether a stock will go up or down within a 15-minute window. In an interview with Barron's discussing 15-minute markets, Kalshi's head of product Catherine Sullivan said that "given the ultimate vision is to allow users to trade anything they want in any time frame they want, [single-stock 15-minute markets] would fall into the natural strategy. It's just a question of will we be allowed to list it or not."

Like the name suggests, perpetual futures have no set expiration date and trade 24/7. While the products have up until recently been limited to prices of cryptocurrencies, the expansion to stock indexes heralds a new era of nonstop trading. If a late-Sunday-night news event looks set to disrupt markets Monday morning, traders can take perpetual futures positions to hedge their exposure.

While some of that trading activity was already possible with traditional futures and options contracts, Kalshi believes that perps are a cleaner way to trade-no complicated terminology or advanced training necessary, just a belief on whether a price will go up or down.

However, the differences between traditional and upstart markets was undercut slightly Tuesday when Nasdaq confirmed it will begin 23-hour-a-day trading on weekdays starting Dec. 6.

Today's announcement is just the latest indication of Kalshi's ambitions to grow beyond the event contracts that buoyed its prediction-market business to a private valuation of $22 billion.

Last week, Barron's reported that Kalshi is rehiring Jeff Bandman and putting him in charge of its futures commission merchant, which will run perpetual futures operations. Bandman was a key figure in Kalshi's earliest days, securing CFTC-approval for event contracts. His return shows how much emphasis Kalshi is putting on perpetual futures, which CEO Tarek Mansour has positioned as central to the firm's "next chapter."

 

應版權方要求,你需要登入查看該內容

免責聲明:投資有風險,本文並非投資建議,以上內容不應被視為任何金融產品的購買或出售要約、建議或邀請,作者或其他用戶的任何相關討論、評論或帖子也不應被視為此類內容。本文僅供一般參考,不考慮您的個人投資目標、財務狀況或需求。TTM對信息的準確性和完整性不承擔任何責任或保證,投資者應自行研究並在投資前尋求專業建議。

熱議股票

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10