伯恩斯坦：持續供應短缺可能推動油價觸及 120 至 150 美元。

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【伯恩斯坦：持續供應短缺可能推動油價觸及 120 至 150 美元。】伯恩斯坦表示，由於中東石油輸送量持續低於戰前水平，市場處於「長期供應不足」狀態，布倫特原油可能上漲至每桶 120 至 150 美元。分析師尼爾・貝弗裏奇與布萊恩・何等人在一份 9 月 14 日發布的報告中稱，此前對布倫特原油 2026 年每桶 90 美元的預測「已被現實情況推翻」，風險偏向價格上行。目前，霍爾木茲海峽、曼德海峽與蘇伊士運河的合計石油輸送量低於每日 700 萬桶；衝突前這一數值約為每日 2000 萬桶。在美國，戰略石油儲備到 9 月底或將觸及 2.52 億桶的法定下限。儘管存在 7000 萬桶這一理論下限，意味着還可繼續釋放 1.8 億桶儲備，但「我們正在逼近戰略儲備的動用極限。」

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