European Midday Briefing: Stocks Rose as Oil Worries Continued to Ease

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MARKET WRAPS

European indexes began the trading week on a stronger note as banks, tech and energy-hungry industrial names rose and retraced some of Friday's sharp losses.

The recovery comes as market worries about disrupted Saudi oil flows continued to ease, bringing with it falling bond yields on both sides of the Atlantic.

"Bond markets have reached a critical point. The coming days will show whether the market can stabilize again following initial signs of shifting dynamics," Commerzbank said.

The decline in oil prices "reflects a partial unwinding of the geopolitical risk premium," according to Zaye Capital Markets.

Though oil prices were falling, the long-term fallout of recent attacks on Saudi Arabia remained a key concern for investors, according to ANZ Research, which added that the broadened conflict in the Middle East increases the odds that oil supply from the Persian Gulf would remain constrained.

On Saturday, Houthi fighters claimed an attack against Saudi Arabia's capital, which struck Riyadh's airport.

Approaching midday, the FTSE 100, the CAC 40 and the DAX were gaining. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index was in the green, though European energy stocks were in the red. London miners were in positive territory.

Meanwhile, local state election losses suffered by Germany's ruling Christian Democratic Union over the weekend should have a limited effect on the euro, ING said, adding the vote reflected local dynamics rather than a verdict on Chancellor Friedrich Merz's reforms.

"These developments add some clouds to the euro, but are not enough to displace rate differentials and oil as its primary drivers."

Elsewhere, world leaders are meeting this week in New York for the U.N. General Assembly. Trump is expected to meet Persian Gulf leaders on the sidelines of the summit and host China's President Xi on Thursday.

U.S. Markets:

Stock futures pointed to a higher open Monday, with the Dow, S&P and Nasdaq in positive territory premarket as markets appear to be looking beyond geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and European political uncertainty. Forex:

The losses suffered by Germany's ruling Christian Democratic Union in state elections should have a limited impact on the euro, ING's Francesco Pesole said. "These developments add some clouds to the euro, but are not enough to displace rate differentials and oil as its primary drivers," he said.

The dollar rose as it continued to receive support from expectations for further interest rate rises by the Federal Reserve.

Bitcoin remained elevated above $81,000 after reaching a two-and-a-half-week high overnight.

Bonds:

Eurozone government bond yields fell, tracking Treasury yields lower, helped by declining oil prices. "The coming days will show whether the market can stabilize again following initial signs of shifting dynamics," Commerzbank's Rainer Guntermann said.

Treasury yields fell as Brent oil prices slipped toward $100 a barrel on a tentative improvement in the geopolitical outlook.

Yields on U.K. government bonds fell as oil prices declined, calming inflation concerns.

Energy:

Oil fell as concerns eased over disruptions to Saudi pipeline flows and hopes grew for diplomatic talks between Trump and Gulf leaders on the sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly this week.

Metals:

Gold slipped as investors weighed inflation risks and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook following last week's rate hike. "Gold remains caught between geopolitical and safe-haven support on one side and restrictive US monetary policy on the other, with the outlook for inflation and the pace of additional Fed hikes likely to remain the key drivers," said Soojin Kim from MUFG.

Copper rose on signs of stronger demand from China and broader supply-side concerns.

Iron ore prices were higher in early trading. Overall iron-ore shipments are continuing a seasonal upward trend, remaining at relatively high levels, according to Nanhua Futures.

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