1105 ET - Bitcoin's strong year-over-year returns are more linked to single days of strong moves, according to Zach Pandl of Grayscale in a note. Pandl says removing bitcoin's five best trading days reduces its three-year return from 225% to 95%, with the return falling to 27% without its 10 best days. If you remove the top fifteen days, it turns a three-year gain into an 11% loss. By comparison, removing the Nasdaq's fifteen best days reduces its cumulative return from 109% to 21%. "Given BTC's return and volatility profile, investors looking for long-term capital appreciation can avoid trying to time the market and instead seek consistent, long-term exposure to the asset," Pandl says. Bitcoin is down 0.2% to $85,610, while ethereum falls 0.2% to $2,701.