Bitcoin Rebounds After Rough Week, But Traders Are Pricing In More Downside

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In brief Bitcoin rebounded 1.38% to $82,837 on Friday after dipping to $80,427 on Thursday, while total crypto market cap rose 2% to $2.8 trillion and the Fear & Greed Index fell to a neutral 56. ...

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The bounce recovers only part of the damage, since the market stood above $3 trillion a week ago, when Bitcoin was pressing against its yearly high.\nDespite the recovery, traders are still nervous. The Fear & Greed Index dropped to 56, a neutral reading, down from the 71 that put sentiment firmly in 「greed」 territory on October 2.\nMyriad: How low will Bitcoin go? Click to make your predicti...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"decrypt.co","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BRRR":"比特币ETF-CoinShares","CBXO":"Calamos Bitcoin 90 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - October","MNRS":"GRAYSCALE BITCOIN MINERS ETF","BTCI":"NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF","BTF":"比特币&以太币期货ETF-CoinShares","CBXY":"Calamos Bitcoin 90 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - July","CBOA":"Calamos Bitcoin Structured Alt Protection ETF - April","BITU":"2倍做多比特币期货ETF-Proshares","BAGY":"Amplify Bitcoin Max Income Covered Call ETF","DFII":"FT Cboe Vest Bitcoin Strategy & Target Income ETF","BPI":"Grayscale Bitcoin Premium Income ETF","DEFI":"比特币期货ETF-Hashdex","BTCC":"Grayscale Bitcoin HIGH Income ETF","BTCL":"T-REX 2X LONG BITCOIN DAILY TARGET ETF","CBOJ":"Calamos Bitcoin Structured Alt Protection ETF - January","XBTY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST Bitcoin ETF","CBTA":"Calamos Bitcoin 80 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF – April","BCCC":"Global X Bitcoin Covered Call ETF","ARKB":"比特币ETF-21Shares","HODL":"比特币ETF-VanEck","BITX":"2倍比特币期货ETF-Volatility Shares","BTCO":"比特币ETF-Invesco Galaxy","CBTJ":"Calamos Bitcoin 80 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - January","FBTC":"比特币ETF-Fidelity","BITY":"Amplify Bitcoin 2% Monthly Option Income ETF","GBTC":"比特币ETF-Grayscale","EZBC":"比特币ETF-Franklin","BITB":"比特币ETF-Bitwise","BTRN":"比特币期货ETF-Global X","CBOO":"Calamos Bitcoin Structured Alt Protection ETF - October","CBTO":"Calamos Bitcoin 80 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - October","BETE":"等权重比特币&以太币期货ETF-ProShares","BITC":"Bitwise Trendwise Bitcoin and Treasuries Rotation Strategy ETF","BFJL":"FT Vest Bitcoin Strategy Floor15 ETF - July","BTCW":"比特币ETF-Wisdom Tree","CBTY":"Calamos Bitcoin 80 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - July","BETH":"比特币&以太币期货ETF-ProShares","YBTC":"比特币看涨期权ETF-Roundhill","BTCZ":"T-Rex 2X Inverse Bitcoin Daily Target ETF","CBXA":"Calamos Bitcoin 90 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF – April","SBIT":"2倍做空比特币期货ETF-Proshares","BITI":"1倍做空比特币期货ETF-Proshares","CBXJ":"Calamos Bitcoin 90 Series Structured Alt Protection ETF - January","MAXI":"比特币期货ETF-Simplify","BITO":"比特币期货ETF-ProShares","BTC":"Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust","IBIT":"比特币ETF-iShares","QBF":"Innovator Uncapped Bitcoin 20 Floor ETF - Quarterly"},"translate_title":"比特币在经历了艰难的一周后反弹，但交易员预计会出现更多下行空间","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"IBIT":0.6,"BITX":0.6,"GBTC":0.6,"EZBC":0.6,"BETE":0.6,"CBTA":0.6,"BPI":0.6,"BTF":0.6,"CBTY":0.6,"BAGY":0.6,"BITB":0.6,"CBOA":0.6,"MNRS":0.6,"CBXA":0.6,"BETH":0.6,"BTCZ":0.6,"YBTC":0.6,"SBIT":0.6,"CBTJ":0.6,"QBF":0.6,"CBXJ":0.6,"BTCL":0.6,"DEFI":0.6,"BCCC":0.6,"BITI":0.6,"BITC":0.6,"ARKB":0.6,"BFJL":0.6,"CBXY":0.6,"BRRR":0.6,"MAXI":0.6,"CBOO":0.6,"BTCI":0.6,"CBXO":0.6,"HODL":0.6,"CBOJ":0.6,"CBTO":0.6,"BTCC":0.6,"BITO":0.6,"DFII":0.6,"FBTC":0.6,"XBTY":0.6,"BTRN":0.6,"BTCO":0.6,"BTCW":0.6,"BITY":0.6,"BITU":0.6,"BTC":0.6},"content_text":"In brief\nBitcoin rebounded 1.38% to $82,837 on Friday after dipping to $80,427 on Thursday, while total crypto market cap rose 2% to $2.8 trillion and the Fear & Greed Index fell to a neutral 56.\nBitcoin ETFs shed $484.9 million on Wednesday and $244 million on Thursday as the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32%, and Fed minutes point to another hike by year-end.\nMyriad traders give a 67% chance Bitcoin trades at or below $80,000 before October ends.\nThe crypto markets are breathing today, with the total capitalization up 2.1% to $2.89 trillion on Friday. The bounce recovers only part of the damage, since the market stood above $3 trillion a week ago, when Bitcoin was pressing against its yearly high.Despite the recovery, traders are still nervous. The Fear & Greed Index dropped to 56, a neutral reading, down from the 71 that put sentiment firmly in 「greed」 territory on October 2.Myriad: How low will Bitcoin go? Click to make your prediction.Wall Street is also nervous. Bitcoin ETFs alone shed $484.9 million on Wednesday, their worst day since June 25, and a further $244 million on Thursday, according to Decrypt's ETF tracker.Bitcoin trades around $82,837 on Friday, up 1.38% on the day, after dipping to $80,427 on Thursday, its lowest level since early September.Bitcoin ETF flows. Image: DecryptThe daily candle opened at $81,711 and has ranged between $81,553 and $83,443. On the four-hour chart, price still trades below the 50-period exponential moving average, so the short-term trend has not turned.Myriad, a prediction market owned by Decrypt's parent company Dastan, gives a 67% chance that Bitcoin trades at or below $80,000 at some point in October, with 40% odds for $77,500 and 24% for $75,000.Bitcoin price data. Image: TradingviewA separate weekly market put 49% odds on Bitcoin finishing the week above $87,500 so traders expect a month of price compression with some space for further downside.The Average Directional Index, or ADX, which measures trend strength regardless of direction, reads 37.9 on the daily chart, well above the 25 level that confirms a real trend. The directional lines show buyers (DI+) above sellers (DI-), so the trend is still bullish even after the pullback.The Relative Strength Index, or RSI, gauges buying pressure on a scale of 0 to 100, and its 51.2 reading is neutral, just like the Fear and Greed Index. This is worth checking out, because Bitcoin appears to be cooling down after an overbought phase.Bitwise Europe's Luke Deans told Decrypt that the $83,000 zone combines the average ETF cost basis with the prior higher-high level, which makes it the first test for the bounce.Reclaiming it would put the price zone at $84,433 in play, while the September high at $87,354.33 remains the ceiling bulls need a daily close above.Daily Debrief NewsletterStart every day with the top news stories right now, plus original features, a podcast, videos and more.Your EmailGet it!Get it!","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}