US$10.00 - That's What Analysts Think Inogen, Inc. (NASDAQ:INGN) Is Worth After These Results

Simply Wall St.
10 Nov 2024

A week ago, Inogen, Inc. (NASDAQ:INGN) came out with a strong set of third-quarter numbers that could potentially lead to a re-rate of the stock. Revenues and losses per share were both better than expected, with revenues of US$89m leading estimates by 5.6%. Statutory losses were smaller than the analystsexpected, coming in at US$0.25 per share. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

View our latest analysis for Inogen

NasdaqGS:INGN Earnings and Revenue Growth November 10th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Inogen from four analysts is for revenues of US$343.0m in 2025. If met, it would imply a reasonable 3.5% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. The loss per share is expected to greatly reduce in the near future, narrowing 30% to US$1.55. Before this latest report, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$340.8m and US$1.68 per share in losses. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment in the recent updates, with the analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for losses per share, even though the revenue numbers were unchanged.

These new estimates led to the consensus price target rising 5.3% to US$10.00, with lower forecast losses suggesting things could be looking up for Inogen.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. For example, we noticed that Inogen's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with revenues forecast to exhibit 2.8% growth to the end of 2025 on an annualised basis. That is well above its historical decline of 0.7% a year over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 8.3% per year. Although Inogen's revenues are expected to improve, it seems that the analysts are still bearish on the business, forecasting it to grow slower than the broader industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that the analysts made no changes to their forecasts for a loss next year. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Inogen. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for Inogen going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Inogen that you should be aware of.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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