金吾财讯 | 国信证券发布研报，首次覆盖光大环境(00257)。公司为全球最大的垃圾焚烧投资运营商，前身光大国际成立于1993年，是业内位数不多达到央企上市公司。目前公司旗下环保能源及绿色环保板块共落实垃圾发电项目191个（含委托运营项目），设计日处理生活垃圾15.89万吨，全行业第一。
该行指，伴随垃圾焚烧行业增长接近尾声，公司资本开支持续显著下降，同时更多项目的投运带来充裕经营现金流，2024H1公司经营性现金流-资本性开支的金额约为10.3亿港元，已实现转正。同样资本开支下降带来建造收入占比持续下降，运营收入占比提升，参考香港二级市场对于垃圾焚烧公司的估值，运营利润拥有更高的估值水平。按照2025年估值水平看，只考虑运营利润光大环境当前的PE仅6倍左右，对比同行业相对低估。
该行预测，预计2024-2026年公司归母净利润分别为37.03/39.43/41.44亿港元，同比增长-16.4%/6.5%/5.1%；EPS分别为0.60/0.64/0.67元。通过多角度估值，预计公司合理估值4.48-4.73元之间，较当前股价有14%-20%的溢价，首次覆盖，给予“优于大市”评级。
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