《经济》大新金融料内地今年通胀增长0.5%

阿斯达克财经
10 Jan

2024年12月内地消费物价指数按年升幅放缓0.1个百分点至0.1%,为去年3月以来最小升幅,并且连续四个月放缓。至于生产物价指数则按年跌2.3%,跌幅较11月收窄0.2个百分点,亦小过市场预期的2.4%,连续二十七个月通缩。
大新金融集团首席经济及策略师温嘉炜表示,去年12月份消费物价升幅进一步放缓,主要受到食品价格由升转跌所致,其中鲜菜及鲜果等新鲜食品价格续受内地天气条件较好所影响而进一步回落,同时非食品价格略有回稳,但不足以抵销食品价格下跌的影响,或反映整体内需复苏仍然乏力。
温嘉炜认为,通胀维持低位,有利内地实施适度宽松的货币政策和更积极的财政政策。内地已宣布扩大支持消费品以旧换新范围,或有助需求回稳,暂预计今年通胀增长0.5%。另外,内地出口可能受到欧美等国的针对性贸易行动所影响,内地部分工业领域产能过剩的问题可能持续,或继续为整体生产物价带来压力,料今年上半年生产物价按年跌幅或仍达1%至2%。(js/w)

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