智通财经APP获悉,大和发布研究报告称,自去年9月宣布出台一系列刺激经济措施以来,玖龙纸业(02689)的收入及盈利能力已显著提升,虽然利润要恢复至接近历史水平仍有相当长的一段路要走,但相信目前其风险回报水平不俗,投资者可作策略性交易,维持“买入”评级。目标价由4.5港元降至4港元。
报告中称,截至去年9月底止2025年首财季玖纸表现疲弱,仅仅达到收支平衡,大和预期次财季可有较强劲复苏,除受到刺激经济措施的提振外,亦因季节性效应及出口订单前置需求的推动,预期截至去年12月底止次财季可能是公司历年来销量及盈利最强劲的季度。但由于订单增加得较晚,相信只有去年11月和12月的复苏会较明显,仍预期2025上半财年实现经调整每吨净利约45元人民币。考虑到每吨利润的复苏放缓,大和将玖纸2025至2026财年每股盈利预测下调17%至34%。
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