建银国际发表报告,预期光大环境(00257.HK) 去年业绩疲弱,受累危废管理(HWT)业务及资产减值等,列账纯利料按年跌25%至33亿港元。撇除单次性项目,估算光大环境去年核心纯利按年跌5%至53亿港元。
即使在更具挑战性的宏观环境下,该行称,光大环境去年成功改善废物/污水管理费用以及能源补贴的收取。该行料建筑活动放缓有利压缩光大环境资本开支,由前年的78亿港元降至去年底料50亿港元。因此,料去年光大环境录自由现金流(FCF)25亿港元,有望属过去十年来首录FCF正值。即使盈利减少,在FCF支持下,该行料光大环境将维持去年每股派息按年持平。
由于危废管理盈利能力下降及资产减值,该行降光大环境去年盈测23%,但上调今明两年盈测分别4%及2%,反映有效税率下降。短期盈利料续受压,但该行相信现金流及资产负债表改善将支持股价。维持“跑赢大市”评级,目标价由原先4.1港元降至3.9港元。(da/u)(港股报价延迟最少十五分钟。沽空资料截至 2025-02-12 12:25。)
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