分析师预计印尼经济增长速度将放缓,将今年的增长预测下调至4.7%左右,因为美国关税和主要经济体的潜在放缓可能会对贸易构成压力。
Mirae Asset Securities将2025年GDP增长预期从之前的5.02%下调至4.75%。
澳新银行下调了亚洲地区的预测;据周二的报告,印尼今年经济增速料为4.7%。
国际货币基金组织(IMF)将印尼今年GDP增速预估从1月份的5.1%下调至4.7%
马来亚银行证券重申预期,预计2025年GDP增长放缓至4.7%。美国32%的关税可能会打击该国出口和劳动密集型制造业,进而波及已经疲软的家庭消费,Brian Lee和Chua Hak Bin在4月21日的报告中写道。
华侨银行将印尼2025年GDP增长预测从4.9%下调至4.7%。华侨银行在4月17日的报告中写道,经济已经受到国内政策方向不确定性和财政前景暗淡的沉重打击,更高的关税将使经济雪上加霜。
印尼2025年GDP增长目标定在5.2%。
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