美联储5月维持利率不变的概率升至99.4%,非农公布前为95.3%

Blockbeats
02 May

BlockBeats 消息,5 月 2 日,据 CME“美联储观察”: 美联储 5 月维持利率不变的概率为 99.4%(非农数据公布前为 95.3%),降息 25 个基点的概率为 0.6%。

美联储到 6 月维持利率不变的概率为 53.8%,累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 45.9%,累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 0.3%。

高盛资产管理公司多行业固定收益投资主管 Lindsay Rosner 表示,此时此地,稳健的劳动力市场数据为美联储提供了耐心的空间。然而,随着前瞻性前景恶化,今天的数据感觉有点回顾性,经济疲软可能导致美联储在今年晚些时候恢复宽松周期的风险仍然存在。(金十)

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