HTX DeepThink:CPI数据低于预期提振降息预期,加密市场强劲反弹但波动风险上升

Blockbeats
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BlockBeats 消息,5 月 14 日,HTX Research 研究员 Chloe(@ChloeTalk1)在最新一期 HTX DeepThink 专栏中表示,5 月 13 日公布的 4 月美国 CPI 数据低于市场预期,强化了美联储年内降息的预期。在美联储量化紧缩(QT)节奏放缓、税收季财政资金回流以及货币市场基金资金从逆回购工具(RRP)流出等多重因素推动下,宏观流动性阶段性释放,加密市场资金明显回流,带动 BTC、ETH、SOL 等核心资产强劲反弹。

机构资金持续入场,BTC 期货未平仓合约(OI)维持高位,占现货流通量的 3.4%;ETH 与 SOL 衍生品市场同步回暖,流动性回升明显。

不过 Chloe 也警告称,当前 BTC 与 ETH 的短期持有者处于高盈利状态,且衍生品市场杠杆头寸密集,若价格突破或跌破关键技术位置,可能引发集中获利了结与强平链式反应,导致市场短期波动加剧。

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