港股异动 | 华润电力(00836)午前跌超4% 电力供应过剩逆风持续 机构料电价下降将对公司盈利造成压力

智通财经
19 Jun

智通财经APP获悉,华润电力(00836)午前跌超4%,截至发稿,跌4.09%,报18.76港元,成交额2.94亿港元。

大和发布研报称,华润电力股价自3月中旬以来上涨了9%,认为其分拆华润新能源首次公开募股(IPO)带来的估值提升,及点火价差扩大的预期已基本反映在股价中。2025年下半年,鉴于水电可能表现强劲进一步加剧电力供应过剩,大和预计这一逆风将持续,华润电力的31%月度和现货交易预计将受到这一趋势的影响。因此,该行将华润电力的2025至2026年收入预测下调1%至2%。

报告还指出,6月至今,江苏省的月度电价较去年同期下跌24%,从每兆瓦时410元人民币(下同)降至313元。华润电力因其在江苏省的产能占比高达17%,成为主要受影响对象。此外,华润电力在广东省的占比为9%,该省在2025年前五个月电价也较去年同期下降8%至23%。

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