BlockBeats 消息，7 月 8 日，高盛预计美联储将在 9 月份降息，比此前预测提前三个月。这一转变反映出一些早期迹象，即与关税相关的通胀比预期温和，而反通胀力量——包括工资增长放缓和需求减弱——正在形成。
该行美国首席经济学家 David Mericle 估计，9 月份降息的几率“略高于”50%，预计 9 月、10 月和 12 月将降息 25 个基点，2026 年初还会再降息两次。高盛还将终端利率预期从 3.5%-3.75% 下调至 3%-3.25%。
BlockBeats 消息，7 月 8 日，高盛预计美联储将在 9 月份降息，比此前预测提前三个月。这一转变反映出一些早期迹象，即与关税相关的通胀比预期温和，而反通胀力量——包括工资增长放缓和需求减弱——正在形成。
该行美国首席经济学家 David Mericle 估计，9 月份降息的几率“略高于”50%，预计 9 月、10 月和 12 月将降息 25 个基点，2026 年初还会再降息两次。高盛还将终端利率预期从 3.5%-3.75% 下调至 3%-3.25%。
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