高盛发表研究报告，对中国啤酒行业短期内持谨慎态度，并下调行业今年销量及均价增长预测至0.3%，对比此前预测为增长0.5%及1.1%，以反映当局于5月出台反奢靡政策对餐饮业的冲击。但高盛相信政策影响将于2026年逐步正常化，届时行业价值增幅可回升至2.1%。
高盛指，今年上半年啤酒企业表现分化，华润啤酒(00291.HK) 等透过成本效益实现10%至11%经常性EBIT增长，但6月起行业月度增速普遍放缓，面对短期挑战，啤酒商正积极拓展即时零售等新兴渠道，并探索品类扩张，相信投资者未来会较关注企业产能优化及股东回报。
高盛将其所覆盖的啤酒企业2025及2026年盈利预测下调0.3%至4%，维持华润啤酒“买入”评级，目标价从33.5元上调至35元，看好其应对周期能力；青岛啤酒(00168.HK) 与百威亚太(01876.HK) 同予“买入”评级，青啤目标价微升至61元，百威亚太维持目标价为9元。(gc/j)(港股报价延迟最少十五分钟。沽空资料截至 2025-07-09 16:25。)
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.