美银证券表示，紫金矿业发布2025年上半年正面盈利预告，净利润232亿元，按年升54%，意味2025年第二季度净利润达130亿元，按年升48%，按季升27%，略超该行预期。 展望未来，因卡库拉矿停产，Ivanhoe将卡库拉矿2025年产量指引从52万至58万吨，下调至37万至42万吨。紫金亦同步下调2025年铜产量预期至107万至108万吨(原计划115万吨)，与2024年水平大体持平。然而，黄金产量料通过整合Akyem金矿及持续收购达成指引。尽管特朗普宣布对进口铜征收50%关税后LME铜价小幅回落，在电网投资推动2025年下半年供需紧平衡下，铜价保持坚挺。 该行全球大宗商品团队预测2025年铜/金均价分别为9557美元/吨，按年升4%，以及3356美元/盎司，按年升40%。考虑黄金产量增长、铜金价格前景向好及成本管控稳健，维持紫金“买入”评级，目标价为23港元。
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