7月28日,上周美指跌破98.10,分析错误。实际走势为上周一蓝线备选方案,美指向下二次探底。从图来看,中长线还是坚持之前观点看涨至102和103.20区域。本周后市上方重点关注98.10强阻力,成功上破后则继续向上拉涨概率加大,若承压下行,向下8测试96.70的概率将加大好多。日内短线小幅上行概率较大,再关注上方98.10一线表现情况再定。今日只有框架思路,没有具体操作建议。
欧元上周分析错误,实际走势站稳1.1700上方后继续向上拉涨,最高1.1780附近周图收阳柱。从图形来看,欧元还是走了上上周一的蓝线备选方案。后市欧元中长线还是建议逢高做空,波段目标依旧1.1200和1.0950区域。短线关注下方1.1660区域强支撑,以上二次探顶向上测试1.1840和1.1870区域概率较大,上方新高随时留意反转行情出现。若不创新高直接跌至1.1660下方后,再关注中线向下回调行情,目前蓝线概率较小,红线概率较大。周内先建议抓红线:1.1700区域做多,止损1.1640,目标看向1.1780和1.1840和1.1870区域。控制仓量,严格止损。
黄金上周先冲高再大跌,目标3326到位,但实际走势的高点比预期高了一个档,站稳3403上方后,冲高至3434承压再大跌,节奏上是对的,但转折点比预期分析高了一档,后市延用前期框架思路继续做空即可。框架分析3403以下继续波段性看空,本周上方重点关注3364和3380强阻力,目前不确定反弹高点,可等待周一周二反弹修整看情况再定,重点就是逢高做空黄金。今日只有框架思路,没有具体操作建议。
白银上周分析错误,创了新高后再大跌至38.80下方,周图收反转十字星。从图形来看,本周继续高空白银,38.80从强支撑变强阻力,本周操作建议:38.80/38.70区域做空,止损39.30,目标看向38.30和36.80,再看向36.30和35.40区域。控制仓量,严格止损。
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